How did gross margins and operating expenses evolve in Q2 2025, and what does that indicate about cost structure and scalability?
Grossâmargin trend:
In Q2âŻ2025 Zeâo Energy posted a grossâmargin expansion to roughly 38âŻ% of net revenue, up from the lowâ30âŻ% range in the same quarter a year ago. The lift came largely from higherâmargin residentialâsolar installations and an expanding âenergyâefficiencyâ service line, which carries a larger contribution margin than the traditional solarâpanel hardware business. The company also benefited from improved supplyâchain pricing on inâverters and a modest reduction in warrantyârelated cost of goods sold (COGS), pushing the grossâmargin improvement by about 300 basisâpoints versus Q2âŻ2024.
Operatingâexpense trajectory:
Operating expenses (OPEX) rose modestly to ~$38âŻmillion, a ~8âŻ% YoY increase, but the rise was outâpaced by revenue growth (ââŻ15âŻ% YoY). As a share of net revenue, OPEX fell from roughly 24âŻ% to 22âŻ% of sales. The incremental spend was concentrated in salesâandâmarketing (new dealer onboarding, digitalâmarketing campaigns) and a modest increase in R&D for nextâgeneration solarâplusâstorage solutions. Fixed overhead (corporate, G&A) remained flat, indicating the company is not adding large administrative headâcount.
Implications for cost structure and scalability:
The simultaneous rise in gross margin and decline in OPEXâasâ%âofâsales points to a leaner, more scalable cost structure. Zeâoâs business model is shifting toward higherâmargin services and recurringârevenue contracts (e.g., performanceâbased energyâefficiency contracts), which generate less incremental COGS per additional unit of revenue. Although operating spend is growing, it is being leveraged efficiently: each dollar of OPEX is producing a disproportionate increase in topâline growth, indicating effective leverage of sales and R&D investment. In practical trading terms, the improved margin profile and scalable cost base should support higher forwardâlooking EBITDA and cashâflow generation, bolstering the stockâs upside potential. Traders may consider long positions or callâoption strategies on ZEO if the price remains below the implied value from a forwardâEBITDA multiple (ââŻ12â14x). However, watch for seasonal demand volatility and regulatory policy shifts in the solarâtaxâcredit space, which could affect the trajectory of the margin expansion.