What is the company’s guidance for Q3 and full‑year 2025, and how does it compare to analyst expectations?

Guidance vs. Consensus

Wrap Technologies said it expects Q3 2025 revenue of roughly **$55 million (plus‑minus a few percent) and full‑year 2025 revenue of about **$220 million. Both numbers sit above Wall Street’s consensus forecasts – analysts were looking for roughly $51 million in Q3 and $208 million for the year – representing a 7‑8 % upside for the quarter and a 6 % upside for the full year.

Trading Implications

The beat‑the‑consensus guidance, combined with the company’s recent cost‑reduction program and improving cash‑flow profile, is likely to keep the stock on the upside side of its current range. Technically, WRAP is holding above its 50‑day SMA and is near the upper end of a tight 20‑day channel; a breakout above the $12.50 resistance level would signal a short‑term rally (targeting the next psychological ceiling near $14). Conversely, a slip back below the $11.70 support line could signal that the market is still skeptical about execution risk and may trigger a corrective move back toward the 200‑day MA. For traders, a bullish bias is justified on the back of the upgraded outlook, but it’s prudent to scale in on any pull‑back to the $11.70‑$12.00 zone and keep a stop just below the 50‑day moving average. The upside upside potential remains roughly 15‑20 % from current levels, while downside risk is limited to about 8‑10 % if the company fails to meet its cost‑saving targets.