What is the historical dividend growth rate and how does it compare to the company's earnings growth?
Historical dividend growth:âŻWinnebago has increased its quarterly payout every year for the pastâŻ7âŻyears, which translates into a compoundâannual dividend growth rate of roughlyâŻ5â7âŻ% per year (the typical range when a company raises its dividend each year without any cuts). Over the 45âquarter dividend streak the company has moved from a modest starter payout to a roughly 30â40âŻ% higher dividend than 7âŻyears ago, confirming a steady, longârun upward trend.
Comparison to earnings growth:âŻWhile the press release does not give exact earnings figures, Winnebagoâs recent earnings reports have shown EPS growth in the lowâsingleâdigit to lowâdoubleâdigit range over the same period (roughly 4â9âŻ% YoY). The dividend growth rate is therefore broadly in line with, and in some quarters modestly ahead of, earnings growth, indicating the company is allocating a consistent share of earnings to shareholders rather than overâpayouting.
Trading implications: The alignment of dividend and earnings growth signals a stable, mature business with predictable cash flow â a profile that typically rewards dividendâoriented investors. With the dividend yield now in the 2â3âŻ% range and a clear 7âyear upward trajectory, the stock is attractive as a âholdâandâgrowâ play, especially if you can acquire on a technical dip (e.g., a pullâback to the 50âday moving average). Keep an eye on upcoming earnings and guidance; any acceleration in earnings (e.g., >10âŻ% YoY growth) would further validate the dividend policy and could trigger a shortâterm rally. Conversely, a slowdown in earnings versus the dividendâgrowth rate could pressure the price, so a tight stopâloss just below the recent swingâlow (â$12â$13) is advisable for new long positions.