What is the anticipated timeline for disbursement of the loan proceeds and the corresponding impact on project milestones?
Anticipated disbursement timeline
Walker &âŻDunlopâs press release indicates that the $160âŻmillion senior loan has already been arranged and that a $27âŻmillion reâadvance component brings total available proceeds to $187âŻmillion. In financing deals of this size, the primary drawâdown usually occurs within 5â10âŻbusiness days after the loanâclosing documents are executed, with the reâadvance being funded within 30â45âŻdays once the borrower meets the stipulated reâadvance conditions (e.g., completion of a defined portion of the development, submission of drawâdown certificates, or achievement of a preâset cashâflow threshold). Assuming the borrower in RanchoâŻMirage is ready to close this week, market participants can expect the bulk of the capital to be in the developerâs bank account by the end of the month, and the reâadvance to be added by early to midâFebruary.
Impact on project milestones and trading implications
The rapid infusion of $187âŻmillion will materially accelerate the masterâplannedâcommunityâs construction schedule. With the primary loan available now, the developer can:
- Commence or expand the firstâphase infrastructure and utility work within the next 2â3âŻweeks, shortening the âgroundâbreakâ window that historically spans 60â90âŻdays after financing.
- Fastâtrack the permitting and entitlement process for the second and third phases, as the lenderâs reâadvance is typically tied to the completion of a predetermined percentage of hardâcost spend (often 30â40% of the total budget). Hitting that trigger by late Februaryâearly March will unlock the remaining $27âŻmillion, keeping the buildâout on a continuous, uninterrupted trajectory.
- Enable earlier sales and preâleases of the residential and commercial parcels, potentially boosting revenue forecasts for the next 12â18âŻmonths and improving the developerâs cashâflow outlook.
From a market perspective, the certainty of nearâterm funding should tighten the price spread on CoachellaâValley realâestate REITs and related construction equities (e.g., UDR, AvalonBay, or regional builders) as investors price in a shortened timeâtoârevenue. Technical charts on these stocks often show a breakout above recent resistance levels when a large, projectâspecific capital event is announced, so a shortâterm longâposition or buyâtheâdip strategy could be justified if the price retraces. Conversely, any delay in the reâadvance drawâdown (e.g., failure to meet the 30% spend threshold) could trigger a sellâoff and a reâtest of the support zone, so keep an eye on the developerâs constructionâprogress updates and the lenderâs drawâdown notices.