How does Upstart's Q2 profitability and growth rates compare to its main competitors in the AI lending space?
Short answer:āÆThe brief BusinessāÆWire release youāve referenced tells us only that Upstart has āannounced results for the second quarter of 2025,ā but it does not contain any specific figures on revenue, earnings, loanāoriginations, or other performance metrics. Because those numbers arenāt included in the excerpt you provided, we canāt directly calculate or compare Upstartās Q2 profitability or growth rates to those of its peers in the AIādriven lending space.
What We Can (and Cannot) Infer from the Provided News
Item in the news release | What we know | What we donāt know (needed for a comparison) |
---|---|---|
Company | Upstart (tickerāÆUPST) announced its Q2 2025 results. | Actual financial metrics (revenue, net income/loss, EBITDA, operating margin, net interest income, loan volume, etc.) |
Time period | Q2āÆ2025 (the quarter ending JuneāÆ30āÆ2025). | Quarterly growth percentages (e.g., YoY revenue growth, loanābook growth, netāinterest margin changes). |
Profitability | The announcement likely includes a profitāorāloss statement. | Exact profit (or loss) amount, EBITDA, netāinterest margin, costātoāserve, and any nonāGAAP adjustments. |
Growth | The release probably mentions revenue/loanāoriginations growth. | Exact percentage growth (e.g., ā+27% YoY revenueā, ā+18% YoY loan volumeā, ā+12% YoY net interest incomeā). |
Comparative context | The release does not cite competitors. | Any benchmarking against peers (e.g., LendingClub, SoFi, Kabbage, Zest AI, or other fintech platforms using AI). |
Because the article does not disclose any of the quantitative data needed, we cannot compute:
- Profitability ratios (e.g., net profit margin, operating margin, return on assets) for Upstart in Q2āÆ2025.
- Growth rates (e.g., revenue growth, loanāportfolio growth, customerābase growth) for the same period.
- Direct comparison to competitorsā profitability or growth metrics.
How You Would Typically Compare Upstart to Its AIāLending Peers
To give you an idea of what a full comparison would look like, hereās the framework you would apply once the actual numbers are available.
1. Identify the core metrics
Metric | Why it matters for an AIālending company |
---|---|
Net Revenue (or Net Interest Income) | Shows total earnings from the loan portfolio. |
Net Income (or Net Loss) | Bottomāline profitability after all expenses. |
EBITDA / Adjusted EBITDA | Provides a view of operating profitability excluding nonācash items. |
Net Profit Margin | Profitability as a % of revenue. |
Loan Origination Volume | Growth of the core business. |
Loan Book Size / Net Interest Margin (NIM) | Revenue generated per dollar of loan balance. |
CostātoāServe & CAC | How efficiently the platform acquires and services borrowers. |
Loss Ratio / Provision for Credit Losses | Creditārisk performance. |
Revenue / Loan Volume Growth YoY & QoQ | Speed of expansion. |
Operating Expenses (Tech, Marketing, R&D) | Investment in AI and scaling. |
2. Typical competitors in the āAIālendingā niche
Company | Primary AI/ML focus | Typical size (2024ā25) |
---|---|---|
LendingClub (NASDAQ: LC) | Uses AI to price, underwrite and manage consumer loans. | |
SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) | Combines AI risk models with a broad fintech suite. | |
Kabbage (American Express) | AIādriven SMB loan platform (now part of Amex). | |
Zest AI (private) | AI creditāscoring platform sold to lenders. | |
Upstart (NASDAQ: UPST) | AIādriven personal loan underwriting and riskābased pricing. |
3. Example of a comparative table (once data are available)
Metric (Q2āÆ2025) | Upstart | LendingClub | SoFi | Kabbage (Amex) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (M) | ||||
YoY Revenue Growth | ||||
Net Income (M) | ||||
Net Profit Margin | ||||
Loan Origination Volume (M) | ||||
YoY Origination Growth | ||||
Net Interest Margin (NIM) | ||||
Loss Ratio | ||||
CAC (per loan) |
4. What the analysis would reveal
- Profitability: If Upstartās net profit margin were, say,āÆ4% versus LendingClubās 2.5% and SoFiās 3%, Upstart would be more profitable despite similar revenue growth.
- Growth Rate: If Upstartās loanāoriginations grew 22% YoY while peers grew 12ā15%, it would demonstrate faster market capture.
- Efficiency: A lower costātoāacquireācustomer (CAC) or a higher NIM would indicate that Upstartās AI models are more efficient at pricing risk.
- Riskāadjusted performance: Comparing loss ratios would show whether rapid growth is coming at the expense of higher credit losses.
Next Steps for a Precise Answer
- Obtain Upstartās Q2āÆ2025 earnings release (full pressārelease or SEC FormāÆ10āQ). These documents contain the exact financial numbers you need.
- Pull comparable metrics from the latest quarterly filings of the peers (LendingClub, SoFi, etc.). Publiclyātraded peers file 10āQ/10āK, and Amex provides Kabbage data in its loanāportfolio disclosures.
- Normalize the numbers (e.g., perāloanāoriginated basis, same fiscalāquarter dates) to ensure a likeāforālike comparison.
- Calculate ratios (profit margin, loanābook growth, NIM, loss ratio, CAC) and build a comparative table.
- Interpret: Highlight where Upstart leads (e.g., higher AIādriven underwriting efficiency) and where it lags (e.g., higher creditāloss provisions).
BottomāLine Summary
- Based on the provided news snippet, we donāt have the quantitative data needed to assess Upstartās Q2āÆ2025 profitability or growth rates.
- Thus, a direct comparison with its AIālending competitors cannot be performed without those numbers.
- When the full earnings release is available, you can apply the framework above to calculate and compare Upstartās performance to peers such as LendingClub, SoFi, and Kabbage/AmericanāÆExpress.
If you can share the full earnings release or the specific financial figures, Iāll gladly run the numbers and provide a sideābyāside comparative analysis.