What has been the market reaction (price movement, volume) since the release of the filing, and what are the shortâterm technical implications?
Short answer:
Because the news release you provided is only a filing announcement (no earnings numbers, guidance, or other material information), the marketâs immediate reaction will be driven primarily by how investors interpret the disclosure itself (e.g., the size of the filing, any surprises in the numbers, whether the filing is a routine âunaudited condensedâ statement, etc.).
Below is a stepâbyâstep framework you can use right now to determine the actual priceâmovement and volume reaction that has taken place since the filing hit the market onâŻAugustâŻ7âŻ2025, and to translate that activity into shortâterm technical implications for UNTC (Unit Corporation).
1. Gather the raw market data (price & volume)
Data source | How to retrieve | What to capture |
---|---|---|
Realâtime quote (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Yahoo Finance, TradingView) | Search ticker UNTC and select âIntradayâ chart | âą Current price âą Price at the exact time of the press release (13:10âŻUTC) âą Open, high, low, close for the trading session ofâŻ08â07â2025 |
Historical intraday data (1âminute, 5âminute, or 15âminute bars) | Export via broker API or dataâprovider CSV | âą Barâbyâbar price & volume from 12:30âŻUTC (preârelease) through 20:00âŻUTC (postârelease) |
Average Daily Volume (ADV) | Pull the 30âday average volume from the same data source | Helps gauge whether todayâs volume is ânormal,â âelevated,â or âabnormally high.â |
Tradeâbyâtrade tape (LevelâŻII) | Optional for a deeper view of market depth | Identify whether large institutional orders drove the move. |
Tip: If you only have endâofâday data, compare todayâs closing price and volume to the previous 5âday average to get a quick sense of the reaction.
2. Quantify the price reaction
Metric | How to calculate | Interpretation |
---|---|---|
Absolute price change | Close (08â07) â Close (08â06) |
Raw point move. |
Percent price change | ((CloseâŻ08â07 â CloseâŻ08â06) / CloseâŻ08â06) * 100 |
Relative move â easier to benchmark against other stocks. |
Intraday highâlow range | High â Low for the day |
Shows volatility. |
Postârelease move | Compare price at 13:10âŻUTC (release timestamp) to price at 13:30âŻUTC and 14:30âŻUTC | Captures the immediate ânewsâdrivenâ reaction. |
Cumulative intraday move | Sum of all price changes from 13:10âŻUTC to market close | Overall effect of the filing on the day. |
3. Quantify the volume reaction
Metric | How to calculate | Interpretation |
---|---|---|
Dayâoverâday volume | VolumeâŻ08â07 / Average Daily Volume (30âday) |
>1.5âŻĂâŻADV = âhighâvolumeâ day; >2âŻĂâŻADV = âvery highâvolume.â |
Volume by timeâslice (e.g., 13:10â13:30, 13:30â14:00) | Add volume per bar in each slice | Shows whether the spike coincides with the filing. |
Volumeâweighted average price (VWAP) | Standard VWAP calculation for the session | If price stays above VWAP after the release, bulls are in control; below VWAP signals sellers. |
Onâbalance volume (OBV) shift | Compare OBV before and after the release | A rising OBV with price up = bullish confirmation; falling OBV with price up = possible distribution. |
4. Shortâterm technical implications
Below are generic scenarios you might encounter once you have the data. Use the actual numbers you pull to decide which scenario fits UNTC.
4.1. Bullish breakout (price up, volume spiking)
Indicator | Expected reading | What it means |
---|---|---|
Price | â„âŻ2âŻ% above prior close, breaking a recent resistance level (e.g., 20âday SMA, recent swing high) | New bullish momentum |
Volume | â„âŻ1.5â2âŻĂâŻADV on the breakout bar, staying elevated for the next 2â3 bars | Institutional buying |
VWAP | Price closes above VWAP and stays there for >âŻ30âŻmin | Buyers controlling the market |
Momentum | RSI climbing above 55â60, MACD line crossing above signal | Momentum is building |
Candlestick | Bullish engulfing or strong green marubozu at the breakout | Strong conviction |
Technical outlook (shortâterm):
- Support levels: prior day low, 20âday SMA, 50âday SMA.
- Targets: 0.5Ăâ1Ă the height of the recent swing (e.g., if prior swing high was $0.45 and low $0.30, a $0.15â$0.30 move up from the breakout point).
- Stopâloss: just below the breakout candleâs low or below the 20âday SMA, whichever is tighter.
4.2. Bearish sellâoff (price down, volume spiking)
Indicator | Expected reading | What it means |
---|---|---|
Price | â„âŻ2âŻ% below prior close, breaking a recent support (e.g., 20âday SMA, previous swing low) | Negative sentiment |
Volume | Spike to â„âŻ1.5â2âŻĂâŻADV on the decline bar | Panic or profitâtaking |
VWAP | Price stays below VWAP for the remainder of the session | Sellers dominate |
Momentum | RSI dropping below 45, MACD line crossing below signal | Weakening momentum |
Candlestick | Bearish engulfing, long lower shadow, or a series of red candles | Aggressive selling |
Technical outlook (shortâterm):
- Resistance: prior day high, 20âday SMA, 50âday SMA.
- Targets: 0.5Ăâ1Ă the swing range down (e.g., if swing high $0.45, low $0.30, a $0.07â$0.15 move down).
- Stopâloss: just above the breakout candleâs high or above the 20âday SMA.
4.3. Neutral / âNoâClearâ reaction (price flat, volume normal)
Indicator | Expected reading | Interpretation |
---|---|---|
Price | <âŻ0.5âŻ% move either direction; staying within the prior dayâs range | Market is digesting the filing without a clear view |
Volume | Near average daily volume, no spikes | No decisive participation |
VWAP | Price oscillates around VWAP | Balance between buyers and sellers |
Momentum | RSI ~ 50, MACD flat | No momentum buildup |
Candlestick | Doji or smallâbody candles | Indecision |
Technical outlook (shortâterm):
- Expect rangeâbound trading for the next 1â3 days.
- Watch for a breakout of the $ârange (above resistance or below support) with accompanying volume before taking a directional trade.
- In a ranging market, consider shortâterm straddles (e.g., buying a tightârange callâput spread) or scalping the bounce off the 20âday SMA.
4.4. âVolumeâonlyâ spike (price unchanged, volume high)
- This can signal accumulation (price will rise later) or distribution (price will fall later).
- Check orderâflow (LevelâŻII) and OBV: rising OBV with flat price = accumulation; falling OBV = distribution.
- Technical next steps: wait for a confirming price move (breakout up or down) before committing.
5. Practical checklist for your analysis right now
- Pull the 5âminute chart of UNTC from 12:30âŻUTC â 20:00âŻUTC onâŻ08â07â2025.
- Mark the exact timestamp of the filing (13:10âŻUTC).
- Overlay the following technical overlays:
- 20âday SMA (simple)
- 50âday SMA (simple)
- VWAP (intraday)
- Bollinger Bands (20âperiod, 2âÏ) â to gauge volatility expansion.
- 20âday SMA (simple)
- Add the following indicators: RSI (14), MACD (12,26,9), and OBV.
- Note any pattern that begins within the first 15â30âŻminutes after the release (e.g., engulfing candle, gap up/down, pinâbar).
- Measure volume on the breakout bar vs. the 30âday ADV.
- Determine the âbiasâ: price above/below VWAP, SMA crossovers, RSI direction.
- Set provisional trade levels (entry, target, stop) based on the scenario you identify.
6. What to expect in the days after the filing
Timeframe | Typical market behaviour for a filingâtype news |
---|---|
Same day (intraday) | Immediate reaction (if any) driven by surprise in numbers or commentary. Volume spikes are common, but many smallâcap OTC stocks may show only a modest move. |
Next 1â2 trading days | If the filing contained material earnings surprises, the price may continue the same direction with stillâelevated volume. If the filing was routine, the stock often reverts to the mean (price drifts back toward the 20âday SMA). |
3â5 day window | Look for confirmation (price staying above/below key SMA or breaking a trendline). If no confirmation, the move is likely a ânoiseâ event. |
One week + | Technical patterns may reset; the stockâs price action will be dominated by broader market sentiment and any subsequent news releases (e.g., audited results, conference call). |
7. Quick âreadyâtoâuseâ template (fillâin with actual numbers)
Market reaction (as ofâŻhh:mmâŻUTC,âŻ08â07â2025):
- Price moved XâŻ% (â/â) from the prior close of $Y to $Z.
- Intraday high/low ranged $Aâ$B (ÎâŻ=âŻCâŻ%).
- Volume for the day was V shares, DâŻĂ the 30âday average volume (ADV).
- The largest volume spike occurred in the 13:10â13:30âŻUTC window (EâŻ% of total day volume).Technical snapshot:
- Price is currently above/below the 20âday SMA ($SMA20) and the 50âday SMA ($SMA50).
- VWAP sits at $VWAP; price is XâŻ% above/below it.
- RSI is at R (neutral/overbought/oversold).
- MACD shows a bullish/bearish crossover.
- Candlestick pattern at the release: [Bullish Engulfing / Bearish Engulfing / Doji / PinâBar].Shortâterm outlook:
- If bullish: anticipate a test of resistance at $R1 (previous swing high) with a stop at $S1 (below 20âday SMA).
- If bearish: watch for a break of support at $S2 (previous swing low) with a stop at $R2 (above 20âday SMA).
- If neutral: expect rangeâbound activity between $L and $H, with a breakout trigger when volume exceeds 1.5âŻĂâŻADV and price crosses VWAP.
Populate the placeholders (X, Y, Z, etc.) using the data you retrieve from your charting platform.
Bottom line
- First step â fetch the actual price and volume data surrounding the 13:10âŻUTC filing.
- Second step â overlay the key technical levels (20âday/50âday SMAs, VWAP) and momentum indicators.
- Third step â classify the reaction into one of the four scenarios above and set shortâterm targets/stopâlosses accordingly.
If you run into any roadblocks pulling the data (e.g., you only have endâofâday quotes), let me know and I can suggest a minimalâdata approach that still yields a reasonable technical picture.