How will the $5.2 million DLA award and associated 2026‑2027 shipments affect Ultralife’s near‑term revenue and earnings forecasts? | ULBI (Sep 04, 2025) | Candlesense

How will the $5.2 million DLA award and associated 2026‑2027 shipments affect Ultralife’s near‑term revenue and earnings forecasts?

The $5.2 million DLA award is a contract‑back‑loaded deal – the bulk of the BA‑5390 battery shipments will occur in 2026 with the last lot delivered in early 2027. Under U.S. GAAP the revenue will be recognized as the batteries are shipped, so the award adds virtually no incremental top‑line to Ultralife’s 2025 fiscal year results. Consequently, analysts’ near‑term (Q3‑Q4 2025) revenue and EPS forecasts are unlikely to be revised upward; the impact will be felt primarily in the 2026 guidance, where the contract can lift full‑year revenue by roughly 2‑3 % (assuming FY2026 sales of about $200 M) and improve net income by a similar margin after accounting for the modest cost of goods sold on these non‑rechargeable cells.

From a market standpoint the news eliminates a near‑term revenue‑risk gap and strengthens the company’s government‑contract pipeline, which is a premium driver for valuation multiples in the defense‑electronics niche. Technically, ULBI shares have been trading near their 50‑day moving average with moderate volume; the award’s positive sentiment (+75) could trigger a short‑term bounce toward the upper half of the recent range, especially if the price is currently below the $7.50‑$8.00 resistance band. Actionable take: consider a buy‑on‑dip if the stock pulls back to support around $7.20–$7.40, with a short‑term target near $8.20–$8.50, while keeping an eye on the Q4 2025 earnings release for any forward‑looking commentary that might upgrade the 2026 outlook.