What is the vesting schedule for these inducement RSUs and how might it impact future earnings per share?
Vesting schedule
Travereâs filing does not spell out the exact timing, but inducement RSUs of this size are usually subject to a gradedâvesting schedule that spreads the award overâŻ3â4âŻyears (e.g., 25âŻ% each year) and may include performance milestones tied to revenue or profitability targets. Because the grants were made onâŻAugustâŻ10âŻ2025, the first tranche would likely vest in the fourth quarter of 2025 with the remaining portions vesting inâŻ2026âŻandâŻ2027âŻunder the same incremental pattern.
Impact on future EPS
When each vesting tranche converts to common shares, the outstanding share count rises, diluting earnings per share. Assuming Travereâs net income stays flat, a 45,100âshare increase will lower the headline EPS proportionally. If the companyâs earnings grow faster than the dilutionâe.g., from successful drug launches or higherâmargin contractsâthe EPS impact could be muted or even positive. Conversely, modest earnings growth combined with the new share base will compress EPS, putting downward pressure on the stock price as analysts adjust their valuation multiples.
Trading implications
- Shortâterm: Anticipate a modestâsized, downwardâbias on the stock around the first vesting date (Q4âŻ2025) as the market prices in the dilution effect.
- Midâterm: If Travere can demonstrate earnings acceleration that outpaces the incremental share count, the stock may rebound and even break higher, rewarding the upside narrative.
- Action: Consider a partialâposition now with a stopâloss set just below the current support level to protect against the nearâterm dilution hit, and look to add on any pullâback if earnings guidance improves inâŻ2026â2027.