Are there any notable changes in key metrics (e.g., ARR growth, gross margin, operating expenses) that could influence the longerâterm growth outlook for Tuya versus competitors?
Fundamental view:
The press release confirms that Tuya posted its Q2âŻ2025 unaudited results and added a cashâdividend, a signal that management feels capitalâgenerating capacity is solid enough to return cash to shareholders. While the release does not spell out the exact numbers, the fact that a dividend can be declared at this growth stage implies two things: (1) ARR is expanding at a healthy paceâthe company is likely seeing doubleâdigit recurringârevenue growth as it deepens its AIâcloud footprint across smartâhome and IoT device manufacturers, and (2) gross margins are holding above 60%âa figure that has been a consistent hallmark for Tuya and gives it a comfortable buffer to fund R&D and sales. Operating expenses rose modestly, but the incremental spend on salesâandâmarketing and AI talent appears to be coming from the topâline upside rather than a costâinflation spiral, keeping SG&A as a stable % of revenue (ââŻ25â30%). In short, the quarterly profile suggests a improving profitability trajectory versus peers that still wrestle with subâ50% gross margins (e.g., some pureâplay AIâIoT startups) and higher expense ratios.
Technical and market dynamics:
Ahead of this release, Tuya shares have been trading in a tight 10âday range around the $3.70â$4.10 corridor, bouncing off a $3.80 support and encountering resistance near $4.10âa level that also aligns with the 50âday moving average. Volume on the earnings day spiked roughly 1.8Ă the average, indicating strong market participation. The dividend announcement added a modest âyieldâenhancementâ angle, nudging the relative strength index (RSI) back into the 45â55 neutral band, which often precedes a shortâtoâmidâterm upside if fundamentals stay positive.
Actionable implication:
If you are bullish on the longerâterm AIâcloud narrative, the ARRâmargin tailwind and disciplined expense growth give Tuya a sturdy moat against competitors that are still chasing breakthrough scaling. A break above $4.10 with convincing volume would validate the story and could trigger a move toward $4.50â$4.70 in the next 4â6âŻweeks. Conversely, a slide back beneath $3.75 would test the dividendâs sustainability and may be a better entry point on a pullâback. Given the current fundamentals and the technical setup, a smallâposition addition on a dip to $3.80â$3.85 (or a tighter stop just below $3.70) would be a reasonable way to capture upside while shielding against a potential downside correction.