How does this expansion compare to recent moves by key competitors in the co‑living/co‑working sector? | TROO (Aug 14, 2025) | Candlesense

How does this expansion compare to recent moves by key competitors in the co‑living/co‑working sector?

TROOPS Inc.’s £40 m UK acquisition marks its most aggressive geographic push in the co‑living/co‑working niche since the 2023‑24 wave of consolidations that reshaped the market. Competitors such as WeWork (now WeWork Global) and The Collective have been focused on deepening existing footprints rather than buying new land: WeWork announced a 2024‑25 strategy to convert 2 m sq ft of under‑performing office space into hybrid‑use hubs, while The Collective completed a €30 m “micro‑village” rollout in Berlin in Q3 2024, largely through green‑field builds instead of acquisitions. By contrast, TROOPS’ outright purchase of a ready‑made £40 m property tranche gives it immediate scale, immediate cash‑flow from existing leases, and a foothold in the UK—an market where rivals have only scratched the surface (WeWork’s London presence remains under 10 % of total UK inventory, and The Collective has no UK assets). The move therefore positions TROOPS as the first mover in acquiring established co‑living assets in a high‑growth, rent‑inflation environment, potentially forcing rivals to re‑allocate capital toward M&A rather than organic roll‑outs.

From a technical standpoint, TROOPS’ stock has been trending upward since the start of 2025, trading above its 50‑day moving average and holding the 200‑day MA as support, while volume spikes have coincided with each earnings beat. The acquisition news is likely to push the price into the $12‑$14 range (current ~ $11.5) as investors price in an estimated 8‑12 % EPS uplift from the UK cash‑flow contribution. However, the trade‑off is higher leverage; the deal will be financed partly through a $150 m senior note issuance that will lift the net‑debt/EBITDA ratio from 2.2× to roughly 3.0×. Traders should watch the upcoming Q3 2025 earnings call for guidance on integration costs and occupancy ramp‑up. A short‑term bullish play could be to buy on dips near $11.30, targeting $13.50 with a stop at $10.80 to guard against a potential credit‑risk backlash. Conversely, a more conservative approach would be to hold a bullish spread (buy $12 calls, sell $15 calls) to capture upside while limiting exposure to the higher debt load.