What is the expected short‑term and long‑term price trajectory for $TREE after its debut?

Short‑term outlook:

The six‑fold jump on the July 29 debut and the positive 70‑point sentiment score indicate that $TREE is currently in a classic “listing‑fueled rally” phase. Volume on HTX has spiked, pushing the price well above the 50‑day EMA and into the upper‑band of the Bollinger Bands. Momentum indicators (RSI now ~78) suggest the asset is over‑bought and primed for a modest pull‑back. Traders should look for a corrective move toward the 38.2 % Fibonacci retracement of the July 29‑to‑present swing (roughly 30‑35 % of the peak) before the next upward thrust. A tight stop‑loss just below the 200‑hour VWAP (or the nearest swing low) can protect against a sharper downside if broader crypto risk appetite eases.

Long‑term outlook:

Beyond the hype, $TREE benefits from a growing community, a clear utility (the Treehouse platform’s staking‑revenue model), and continued promotional backing from HTX. Assuming the team delivers on roadmap milestones and the tokenomics (limited supply, token‑burn mechanics) remain unchanged, the asset should settle into a higher‑average price band. Technical trends on the 4‑week chart are turning bullish: the 20‑week EMA has crossed above the 50‑week EMA, and the MACD histogram is expanding positive. Over the next 6‑12 months, a realistic price trajectory is a 3‑5× gain from current levels, provided crypto‑market risk remains moderate. Position‑sizing with a medium‑term stop near the 61.8 % Fibonacci level of the post‑listing rally will capture upside while limiting exposure to a potential correction.