Fundamental outlook
CaseyâŻWerthâs hiring signals a clear strategic push to expand TRCâs IntelligentâGrid Solutions franchise across the UnitedâŻStates and Canada. Werth brings a track record of scaling complex, technologyâheavy sales teams in the utility and renewableâenergy sectors, which should accelerate the rollout of TRCâs gridâmodernization projects (e.g., advanced distribution management, microâgrid and DER integration). Assuming a modest 5â7âŻ% incremental winârate on existing pipeline, the NorthâAmerican topâline could rise by roughly 3â4âŻ% YoY in 2026âwell above the 1â2âŻ% growth the company has historically reported for the region. The appointment also reduces execution risk for large, multiâyear contracts, a key driver of the âIntelligent Gridâ segmentâs recurring revenue.
Market & technical context
TRCâs shares have been in a shallow uptrend since the start of Q3âŻ2025, holding above the 200âday moving average (~$28) with the 20âday SMA acting as a nearâterm support at $30. Volume has been light but steady, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits in the 45â50 band, indicating room for upside without immediate overbought pressure. The market is pricing in the broader energyâtransition tailwinds, but the ânewâsalesâleadâ catalyst is still underâabsorbed. A breakout above $33 would confirm the upside narrative, while a dip back below $28 could test the durability of the growth thesis.
Actionable insight
Given the positive fundamental catalyst and a technically clean chart, a lightâtoâmoderate long position on TRC is warranted. Consider entering on a pullâback to the $30â$31 range with a stop just below the 200âday moving average ($28). If the stock clears the $33 resistance on strong earnings or contract announcements, look to add on the retracement. The upside potential from accelerated NorthâAmerican sales under Werth outweighs the modest execution risk, making TRC a modestly bullish play in the energyâtransition space.