Is the order indicative of growing demand for TOMI's disinfection solutions in the scientific and medical equipment market?
Answer
Yes. The ARES Distribution order signals a strengthening demand pipeline for TOMIâs disinfection and deâcontamination products within the scientificâ and medicalâequipment sector. ARES is a global distributor that services OEMs and endâusers of highâvalue lab and clinical instrumentsâmarkets that have been under pressure to certify cleanroom standards and to meet tighter infectionâcontrol regulations after the pandemic. Securing a âsignificantâ order from a distributor that already reaches a broad, international customer base suggests that TOMIâs solutions are moving from niche, projectâbased sales toward repeat, volumeâdriven business. This is a positive fundamental catalyst that should reinforce revenue growth expectations for FYâ2025 and beyond, and it may prompt analysts to upgrade earnings forecasts and raise the price target.
Trading implications
Fundamentals: The order adds to TOMIâs order backlog, likely boosting Q3âQ4 revenue and improving the companyâs grossâmargin outlook (higher mix of consumables vs. oneâoff equipment). Anticipate a modest upward revision to the 12âmonth earnings guidance, which could tighten the valuation spread to peers in the industrialâbiotech and specialtyâchemicals space.
Technical: TOMIâs stock has been trading in a tight 20âday range around $12.30â$12.80, with the 20âday SMA still below the 50âday SMA, indicating a mild downtrend. The ARES order is a bullish catalyst that could trigger a breakout above the $12.80 resistance. A move to $13.20â$13.50 would capture the next shortâterm upside, while a break below $12.20 would still keep the riskââreward profile attractive for a contrarian bounceâback play.
Actionable view: For investors already long, consider adding on the dip if the price retests $12.20â$12.30 with volume support. For new positions, a buy near the current level with a stop just below $12.00 and a target around $13.30 (ââŻ10% upside) aligns with the expected catalystâdriven rally. If the stock fails to hold $12.00, the order may be viewed as insufficient to offset broader market weakness, and a shortâterm exit is advisable.