When are the purchase orders expected to be fulfilled and recognized in the financial statements?
Timing of fulfillment & revenue recognition
TOMIâs press release states that the company has received âsignificant purchase ordersâ from a new eyeâhealth client for 2025. Under U.S. GAAP (and the IFRS âpointâofâsaleâ model), a company can only recognize revenue when the promised goods or services are delivered (or the performance obligation is satisfied) and the amount is measurable and collectible. Because the orders are tied to the 2025 calendar year, the actual shipments, installations and related services are expected to be carried out throughout 2025 â most likely beginning in the second half of the year as the client ramps up production and the contracts move from the âorderâ stage to the âexecutionâ stage.
Consequently, the revenue from these orders will not appear in TOMIâs 2024 financial statements. It will be recognized in the 2025 fiscal year, with the bulk of the impact showing up in the Q3âQ4 2025 earnings releases (or the 2025 annual filing) once the deliveries are made and the performance obligations are fulfilled. Until the goods/services are shipped, the orders remain an offâbalanceâsheet commitment; only the related contract assets/liabilities (e.g., billâofâmaterials, workâinâprocess) may be disclosed in the footnotes.
Trading implication
Because the revenue will only be booked in 2025, the market will price the news today on the basis of future growth expectations rather than immediate earnings. Expect the stock to trade on a forwardâlooking premium (higher multiples) as analysts project incremental 2025 topâline and margin expansion. Shortâterm traders can capitalize on the upside by buying on any pullâback, while longerâterm investors should focus on the Q4â2025 earnings cycle when the order fulfillment will materially lift TOMIâs revenue and EPS. Technicals will likely show a breakout on the news, but the true earningsâdriven move will be confirmed once the Q4â2025 results are released.