What is the expected timeline for the investigation and potential resolution, and how might that timeline influence market positioning?
Timeline outlook â Shareâholderârights firms such as Schall typically file a formal complaint within 2â4âŻweeks of receiving the initial evidence, followed by a discovery phase that lasts 3â6âŻmonths. If the case proceeds to settlement negotiations, those can be resolved in 6â12âŻmonths; a full trial, however, pushes the horizon out to 12â18âŻmonths (or longer if appeals are filed). In practice, the market will price in the nearâterm uncertainty (the filing and discovery window) well before any definitive judgment or settlement is announced.
Trading implications â The immediate reaction to the filing is a sharp, sentimentâdriven sellâoff (TLX is already trading with a â70 sentiment bias). Technicals show the stock near its recent lowâpoint, with the 20âday EMA and a broken 50âday trend line providing support around $1.30; the RSI is in the oversold zone (~30). For the shortâterm (0â3âŻmonths) you can lean bearish: consider a modest short position, a protectiveâput spread, or a tightâstopâloss if you stay long, as volatility is likely to spike during the discovery phase. If the case settles favorably or is dismissed, the stock could rebound sharply, so a contingent long entry around the $1.30 support with a stop just below $1.20 would capture the upside while limiting risk. Keep the 12â18âmonth window in mind for a potential âresolution catalystââif you have the conviction that the allegations are weak, you might position for a rebound after the litigation tailwinds fade, but until then the riskâreward profile favors defensive, volatilityâaware positioning.