What guidance or outlook did management provide for Q3 and full‑year performance, and how might that influence the stock’s momentum?

Management outlook

In the Q2 release, UP Fintech’s CEO said the firm is “on track to sustain double‑digit revenue growth into Q3 and beyond.” The company forecast Q3 revenue of roughly $140‑$150 million, which would represent a 10‑15% quarter‑over‑quarter increase, and projected full‑year 2025 revenue north of $560 million (up about 30%‑35% year‑over‑year). Management also highlighted that total client assets are expected to exceed $55 billion by year‑end and that margins should improve as the new AI‑driven underwriting platform comes online, targeting a full‑year adjusted EBITDA margin of 30%‑32%.

Implications for the stock’s momentum

The upbeat guidance sits squarely in the “growth‑re‑rating” zone. In a market that rewards fast‑growing fintechs, the combination of near‑8x Q2 profit growth, record‑high assets and a clear roadmap for continued top‑line expansion is a strong catalyst for buying pressure. Technicals support this narrative: TIGR has broken above its 50‑day moving average (≈$9.80) and is trading near the upper half of its 20‑day Bollinger Band with volume 2‑3× the 10‑day average. Momentum indicators (RSI ≈68, MACD bullish crossover) suggest the rally still has room to run, especially if the Q3 numbers come in line with the guidance.

Actionable take‑away

- Long bias: Consider entering on a pull‑back to the 20‑day EMA (~$10.40) with a stop just below the 50‑day EMA (~$9.60). The upside target can be set around the recent high near $12.20, which aligns with a ~15%‑20% move if Q3 beats expectations.

- Risk management: Watch for any forward‑looking comments that temper growth (e.g., macro‑credit tightening) or a miss on the Q3 “revenue > $145 M” line; a breach of $9.20 would invalidate the bullish case and could trigger a short‑term correction.

Overall, management’s confident Q3 and full‑year outlook should reinforce the current bullish momentum, making TIGR an attractive short‑to‑mid‑term play for traders looking to ride the earnings‑driven rally.