What is the guidance for Q3 revenue and earnings, and how does it stack up against consensus forecasts?
Answer
The press release you referenced tells us that TEGNAâŻInc. (tickerâŻTGNA) reported its Q2âŻ2025 results and also gave guidance for the upcoming third quarter (Q3âŻ2025). However, the brief you provided does not include the actual guidance figuresâi.e., the expected Q3âŻ2025 revenue amount, the projected earnings per share (EPS) or net income, nor the consensus analyst forecasts that the company is being compared to.
Because those specific numbers are missing, I canât give you a precise sideâbyâside comparison of TEGNAâs guidance versus the Wall Street consensus. Below is a structured outline of the information you would need to answer the question fully, along with guidance on where to locate it and how the comparison is typically presented:
Item | What to Look For | Why It Matters |
---|---|---|
Q3âŻ2025 Revenue Guidance | The companyâs projected total revenue for the third quarter (usually expressed in millions or billions of dollars). | Revenue is the topâline indicator of the businessâs growth trajectory and market demand. |
Q3âŻ2025 Earnings Guidance | The projected earnings per share (EPS) or net income for the quarter. EPS is the most common metric used in analyst consensus tables. | EPS reflects profitability and is the basis for valuation multiples (e.g., P/E). |
Consensus Revenue Forecast | The average/median revenue estimate compiled by research firms (e.g., Bloomberg, FactSet, Refinitiv). | Shows what analysts collectively expect; a companyâs guidance can be âabove,â âin line with,â or âbelowâ this benchmark. |
Consensus EPS Forecast | The average/median EPS estimate from the same sources. | Directly comparable to the companyâs EPS guidance; influences price expectations. |
Variance (Guidance vs. Consensus) | The dollar or percentage difference between TEGNAâs guidance and the consensus. | Highlights whether the company is signaling stronger or weaker performance than the market expects, which can move the stock price. |
How to Find the Missing Numbers
- Full Press Release â The original TEGNA Q2âŻ2025 results press release (often posted on the companyâs investorârelations website) will list the Q3 guidance in a âFinancial Outlookâ or âGuidanceâ section.
- SEC Filings â A FormâŻ8âK or a supplemental earnings release filed with the SEC will contain the same guidance details.
- Financial News Platforms â Services such as Bloomberg, Reuters, FactSet, or S&P Global often publish the guidance alongside analyst consensus tables. A quick search for âTEGNA Q3 2025 guidanceâ on those platforms should surface the numbers.
- Analyst Research Reports â Brokerage houses (e.g., Morgan Stanley, BofA Merrill Lynch) release consensus estimates in their âEarnings Outlookâ reports, which can be crossâchecked with the companyâs guidance.
Typical Presentation (Illustrative Example)
âTEGNAâŻInc. provided Q3âŻ2025 revenue guidance of *$1.12âŻbillion, versus a consensus forecast of $1.08âŻbillion (a +3.7% upside). The company also forecasted Q3âŻ2025 EPS of **$0.31, compared with the Streetâs consensus of $0.28 (approximately +11% above expectations).â*
If the actual press release contains numbers similar to the illustration above, the interpretation would be:
- Revenue: Guidance is above consensus â suggests TEGNA expects stronger adâsales or distribution revenue growth versus analyst expectations.
- Earnings: Guidance is above consensus â indicates higher profitability, perhaps due to costâcontrol measures, higher margins, or favorable networkâdistribution economics.
What This Means for Investors
- Positive Surprise Potential: When a companyâs guidance exceeds consensus, the market often reacts positively, as investors anticipate betterâthanâexpected performance.
- Risk Assessment: If the guidance is only modestly above consensus, the upside may be limited; however, any deviation (up or down) can increase volatility as analysts adjust their models.
- Strategic Implications: For a mediaâdistribution firm like TEGNA, higher revenue guidance may reflect successful rollout of new advertising products, networkâaffiliation deals, or digitalâmedia monetization initiatives. Higher EPS guidance could signal operational efficiencies, favorable retransmission fee structures, or marginâimproving initiatives.
Bottom Line
Based on the information you supplied, the specific Q3âŻ2025 revenue and earnings guidance figuresâand the consensus forecasts they are being measured againstâare not available. To answer the question definitively, youâll need to retrieve the full press release or the accompanying SEC filing where TEGNA spells out its Q3 outlook. Once you have those numbers, you can directly compare them to the consensus estimates (available from Bloomberg, FactSet, Refinitiv, etc.) and assess whether TEGNAâs guidance is above, in line with, or below market expectations. If you can share the exact guidance numbers, Iâll gladly provide a detailed comparative analysis.