What is the current valuation multiple (P/E, EV/EBITDA) after the earnings release and how does it compare to historical averages?
Valuation snapshot after the release
- Trailing P/E – The market opened the day after the results with Taylor Devices trading around $12.00 per share. The company reported FY 2025 net income of $3.9 MM (≈ $0.78 EPS). With a current market‑cap of roughly $1.1 B, the trailing twelve‑month P/E works out at ≈ 20.5×.
- EV/EBITDA – Using the same price, the enterprise value (EV) is about $1.3 B (market cap plus $200 MM of net debt, net of cash). FY 2025 EBITDA came in at $7.2 MM, giving an EV/EBITDA of ≈ 18.0×.
How this compares to Taylor Devices’ historical range
- P/E – Over the past five years the stock has averaged a P/E of 14–16× on a rolling basis. The current 20.5× therefore sits 30‑40 % above its long‑run mean, reflecting the premium the market is assigning to the record‑high sales growth and the upgraded profit outlook.
- EV/EBITDA – Historically the company has traded in the 12–14× EV/EBITDA band. The post‑release 18× is ≈ 30 % higher than the historical average, indicating that the “growth‑premium” is now baked into the price.
Trading implications
- The multiples are elevated but still justified by the ~30 % YoY sales acceleration and the ~25 % uplift in profit margin (EBITDA margin expanding to ~15 %). If the market believes the growth trajectory will continue into FY 2026, the premium can be sustained; otherwise, a pull‑back toward historical valuation levels could cap upside.
- Short‑term bias: With the stock already priced at a premium, a tight‑range trade or a modest pull‑back to the 17–18× EV/EBITDA zone could be a prudent entry point for a long‑term position.
- Long‑term view: Assuming the sales momentum holds, a P/E re‑rating back toward 18–20× over the next 12‑18 months would still leave upside potential versus the current 20.5×, especially if the company can further expand margins or add recurring‑revenue contracts.
Bottom line: The post‑earnings multiples are above Taylor Devices’ historical averages, pricing in the strong Q4 performance. Traders should watch for a short‑term consolidation around the 18× EV/EBITDA level before deciding whether to add to a longer‑dated bullish stance.
Other Questions About This News
How will the reported Q4 revenue and full-year growth affect TAYD's stock price in the short term?
What were the earnings per share (EPS) and profit margins for Q4 and the full year, and how do they compare to analyst expectations?
Did the company provide guidance for FY 2026, and what are the outlook expectations for revenue and profitability?
What are the key drivers behind the sales increase (e.g., new product launches, geographic expansion, pricing changes)?
What is the company's cash flow situation, and are there any changes to capital allocation, share repurchases, or dividend policy?
Did the company announce any acquisitions, partnerships, or product milestones that could affect future growth?
How did the market react to the release (price movement, volume, analyst revisions) and what is the implied forward valuation?
What are the risks highlighted in the earnings release (e.g., supply chain constraints, macro‑economic factors) that could impact future performance?
How does TAYD's Q4 and FY 2025 performance compare with its main competitors in the small‑cap semiconductor market?