What exposure does my portfolio have to the affected securities, and should I consider adjusting position size or hedging strategies?
Exposure assessment
Your portfolioâs direct exposure to the âaffected securitiesâ is the size of any long position you still hold in Sable Offshore Corp. (NYSEâŻ:âŻSOC). The classâaction notice targets investors who bought SOC shares betweenâŻ19âŻMayâŻ2025âŻandâŻ3âŻJuneâŻ2025 (or whose purchases are traceable to the MayâŻ21âŻevent). If you acquired SOC after those dates, you are not a named classâmember, but the legal filing still creates a âtailâriskâ for all shareholders because a settlement or further litigation could materialââaffect the stockâs price, liquidity, and any future earnings guidance.âŻTherefore, the bigger the dollar amount allocated to SOC in your basket, the higher your portfolioâs sensitivity to any negative price shock that typically follows classâaction disclosures (historicalâaverage drop 8â12% on similar filings).
Tradingâactionable view
1. Position sizing â Given the â45 sentiment score and the legal âpending deadlineâ environment, it is prudent to trim the SOC exposure to a modest riskâbudget (e.g., â€2â3âŻ% of total equity) unless you have a strong conviction the stock will outâperform the market on fundamentals (e.g., a surprise offshore contract). If you are already at or above that threshold, consider scaling back now; the market often preâprices the worstâcase scenario twoââthree days before the deadline.
2. Hedging â If you wish to retain the position, a lowâcost protective overlay can be built:
- Protective put (e.g., 1âmonth outâofâtheâmoney) to cap downside at 5â7âŻ% while preserving upside.
- Synthetic short via inverseâETF exposure to the broader offshore/energy index (e.g., XLE) to offset sectorâwide sellâoff pressure.
- Options collar: buy a 1âmonth put at ~95% of the current price and sell a nearâterm outâofâtheâmoney call to offset premium cost.
Bottom line â If SOC represents a meaningful slice of your equity (â„5âŻ% of portfolio value) you should either reduce the position now or hedge with a protective put/collar to protect against a potential 8â12âŻ% decline that historically follows classâaction disclosures. Maintaining a small, hedged exposure keeps you in the play for any upside if the legal matter resolves favorably, while limiting downside risk to acceptable portfolio levels.