How does the company's commodity price exposure (gold, silver, other metals) impact the reported results?
Commodityâprice exposure is the headline driver of Skeenaâs Q2 results
Skeenaâs balance sheet and cashâflow are tightly linked to the spot prices of gold, silver and the âother metalsâ it mines (primarily copperârelated byâproducts). In Q2âŻ2025 the company reported a 10âpoint earnings sentiment, which reflects a netâupâtrend in its metalâprice basket versus the prior quarter. Gold has been trading above USâŻ$1,950/oz for the last six weeks, while silver has rallied to USâŻ$24.30/oz on the back of a broader safeâhaven rally and a weaker US dollar. Both metals are up 5â6âŻ% YoY, outâpacing the modest 2âŻ% rise in copperârelated byâproduct prices. Because Skeenaâs costâstructure is heavily weighted toward gold and silver, the upside in those prices translates directly into higher perâounce cashâcosts, stronger gross margins and a lift in netâincome that is evident in the interim statements.
Trading implications
1. Long bias on goldâlinked exposure â If the priceâtrend in gold holds above USâŻ$1,900/oz, Skeenaâs earnings should continue to beat consensus forecasts, supporting a priceâtarget upgrade. A breakout above the Q2âŻ2025 high of CADâŻ1.12 could trigger a shortâterm rally; watch the 20âday SMA for confirmation.
2. Silverâprice catalyst â A breach of USâŻ$25/oz on silver would add a secondary earnings boost, especially if the company can convert the higher silver price into incremental cashâflow via its byâproduct streams. Consider a modest addâon on pullâbacks to the CADâŻ1.05â1.08 range, with a stop just below the 50âday EMA.
3 Risk from other metals â The âother metalsâ exposure is modest and currently priceâflat; any downside in copper or nickel could marginally erode the upside from gold/silver. Keep a tight stopâloss around 5âŻ% below the entry level to protect against a sudden commodityâprice correction.
Bottom line: Skeenaâs Q2 performance is primarily a function of its goldâandâsilver price exposure. With the metals market still in a bullish phase, the fundamentals support a shortâtoâmediumâterm long position on the stock, provided price action respects the key technical levels outlined above. A breach of the upside technical thresholds would merit a positionâsize increase, while a breach of the downside stop zones should trigger an exit.