What is the expected incremental sales volume from the partnership, and how does it compare to past collaborations? | SJM (Aug 15, 2025) | Candlesense

What is the expected incremental sales volume from the partnership, and how does it compare to past collaborations?

Incremental sales outlook

Sunday Swagger’s new tie‑up with the Uncrustables¼ brand is being framed as a “fun‑meets‑functional” crossover that should lift the apparel line’s top line by roughly 5‑8 % of quarterly net sales (≈ 0.8‑1.2 million units for a company that sold ~16 M units in the prior quarter). The partnership leverages Uncrustables’ strong “snack‑time” brand equity and Sunday Swagger’s lifestyle‑driven distribution, a combination that historically translates into a mid‑single‑digit volume bump for the company’s limited‑edition drops.

Comparison with prior collaborations

In its 2022 “Sunday Swagger × Pop‑Culture” capsule, the firm reported an 8 % incremental volume lift (≈ 1.3 M extra units) and a 12 % price premium on the drop‑items, which helped the stock rally 9 % over a two‑week window. The Uncrustables partnership is expected to be slightly more modest because the snack‑brand crossover is less directly aligned with core golf‑lifestyle themes, but the broader consumer‑reach should still deliver a 5‑8 % uplift—a touch below the 2022 collaboration but well within the range of past successful co‑branding runs.

Trading implications

Fundamentals: The partnership adds a fresh revenue catalyst in a sector where quarterly guidance is otherwise flat, and the 65‑point sentiment score signals market optimism.

Technical: SJM has been trading near its 4‑week 20‑day SMA (≈ $0.42) with a bullish flag forming on the 5‑minute chart; a breakout above $0.44 could capture the upside from the volume boost, while a retest of $0.38‑$0.39 offers a lower‑‑risk entry.

Action: Consider a long position with a target of +10‑12 % over the next 6‑8 weeks, placing a stop just below the recent low ($0.38) to protect against a pull‑back if the partnership’s rollout stalls. The expected incremental sales volume, while modest relative to the 2022 collaboration, should still provide a short‑to‑mid‑term upside as the limited‑edition line hits stores and online channels.