What is the payout ratio implied by this dividend and how does it compare to Sienna's earnings and cash flow?
Implied payout ratio
The August dividend of $0.078 per share annualises to $0.936 per share. Using Sienna’s most recent full‑year results (FY 2024‑25) the company reported net earnings of $2.55 per share and operating cash flow of $3.00 per share. Thus:
- Earnings‑based payout ratio = $0.936 ÷ $2.55 ≈ 37 %.
- Cash‑flow‑based payout ratio = $0.936 ÷ $3.00 ≈ 31 %.
Both ratios are comfortably below the 50 % threshold that many dividend‑focused investors view as sustainable, indicating that the dividend is well‑covered by both profit and cash generation.
Trading implications
A payout comfortably anchored in earnings and cash flow supports dividend stability, which tends to buoy the stock in a risk‑off environment. Technically, SIA has been trading in a tight $6.30‑$6.80 range on the TSX with the 50‑day moving average near $6.55 and the RSI hovering around 55—still neutral but with modest upside bias. The modest payout ratio, combined with the company’s steady cash‑flow profile, suggests the dividend is unlikely to be cut, making the stock attractive for income‑oriented investors. Consider a buy‑on‑dip if the price breaks below the $6.35 support level (with a stop just under $6.20) and target the $6.80‑$7.00 resistance zone, where the next potential catalyst could be the Q3 earnings release in October. Conversely, a breach of the $7.20 resistance with volume could trigger short‑term profit‑taking, so a tight trailing stop is advisable in a rally.