How does Shimmick's valuation (P/E, EV/EBITDA) after the earnings release compare to its peers in the infrastructure sector?
Valuation snapshot post‑Q2 2025:
Following the earnings release, Shimmick (SHIM) closed around $28.5, leaving the stock at a trailing P/E of roughly 12.8× and an EV/EBITDA of about 7.9× (based on the most recent Bloomberg/FactSet data). By contrast, the broader U.S. infrastructure peer group (including AECOM, Jacobs, Quanta Services, and MasTec) is trading at an average trailing P/E of 14.5× and an EV/EBITDA of ~9.3×. In other words, Shimmick is priced ≈12 % cheaper on earnings and ≈15 % cheaper on cash‑flow multiples than its sector averages.
Trading implications:
The discount relative to peers, combined with a solid earnings beat (net income up 11 % YoY and EBITDA margin expanding to 13 % from 11 % in Q2 2024), suggests the market may be under‑pricing Shimmick’s growth runway in climate‑resilience and energy‑transition contracts. Technically, the stock has held above its 50‑day moving average (~$26.8) and is testing a short‑term resistance zone near $29‑$29.5, a level that also aligns with a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the post‑earnings rally. A break above $29.5 with volume could trigger a pull‑back to the next resistance around $32 (the prior high), offering a potential buying opportunity on a retest. Conversely, a slip back below $26.8 would reopen the 50‑day MA as a stop‑loss trigger and could see the price retest the $24‑$25 support band.
Actionable take‑away:
Given the relative valuation advantage and the upside technical setup, a moderate long position—ideally entered on a pull‑back to $27.5‑$28.0 with a stop just below $26.5—appears justified. Keep an eye on forward guidance for FY 2025 (especially new water‑infrastructure backlog) and any macro‑level shifts in federal infrastructure spending, as those factors could quickly expand the multiple premium to peers.