What are the market implications of the potential cryptocurrency treasury reserve and the possible divestiture of Resource Group on the stock price? | SGD (Aug 18, 2025) | Candlesense

What are the market implications of the potential cryptocurrency treasury reserve and the possible divestiture of Resource Group on the stock price?

Fundamental outlook: The headline driver of the recent rally in SGD is the ≈3,200 % YoY revenue jump that came from the acquisition of Resource Group. That business now accounts for the bulk of the company’s earnings and is explicitly described as “a key part of the Company’s core business.” If the board follows through on the stated plan to create a cryptocurrency‑treasury reserve—an asset‑light, potentially high‑return cash‑equivalent—it would require selling Resource Group. In that scenario, earnings would likely fall sharply because the high‑growth revenue stream would be stripped away, and the crypto reserve would introduce volatility (price swings, regulatory risk, and the need for robust custody/security). Investors therefore view the crypto‑reserve idea as a binary catalyst: either a successful divestiture and a clean balance‑sheet conversion to a crypto‑focused balance sheet (which could attract a niche, higher‑risk investor base) or a loss of the core operating cash‑flow, which would pressure the valuation downward. Until a letter of intent surfaces, the market is pricing the risk premium into the stock, which is why the sentiment is still relatively bullish (85) but the upside is capped.

Technical & trading implications: On the chart, SGD has broken out of a tight consolidation range around $0.45‑$0.55 and is now testing resistance near $0.68 (the 50‑day SMA and a prior high). Volume on the last two sessions has been above average, suggesting that the earnings beat and growth story are still the dominant narrative. However, the price is also hovering just below the 20‑day EMA, a technical warning sign that buyers are tiring. A break above $0.70 with sustained volume would confirm that the market has priced in the “stay‑in‑business” scenario (Resource Group remains) and could trigger a short‑term rally toward $0.85. Conversely, a retest of the $0.55‑$0.58 support coupled with any hint of a LOI for the crypto reserve (e.g., a news leak about a buyer) would likely precipitate a sharp sell‑off, potentially testing the $0.45 floor and invoking stop‑loss clusters.

Actionable take‑away: Until a concrete LOI is announced, treat SGD as a high‑beta earnings play. Maintain a long position if the price holds above $0.60 and the 20‑day EMA, targeting $0.80–$0.85 as the next upside zone. Place a protective stop around $0.54–$0.55 to guard against a downside move triggered by divestiture speculation. If a credible LOI for the crypto treasury appears, consider scaling out or shorting on a break below $0.58, as the market will likely reprioritize the stock from growth‑driven to risk‑adjusted crypto exposure.