How will the improved sales across all operating areas affect Sectra's profit margins and cash conversion compared to its historical averages?
Fundamental upside: The interim report shows that sales have risen in every operating segment and order bookings have doubled â a clear indicator that both the imagingâIT and cybersecurity lines are gaining new traction, especially in North America. With a broader revenue base and a stillâstable cost structure (R&D and SG&A are not disclosed as expanding at the same pace), Sectraâs gross margin is likely to edge higher than its threeâyear average of roughly 35â38âŻ%. The âpositive earnings trendâ further suggests that operating expenses are being absorbed efficiently, so net profit margin should climb to the midâ40âŻ% range, outpacing the historical 38â40âŻ% band.
Cashâconversion outlook: More sales translate into a stronger conversion of earnings into cash, because the company can now offset workingâcapital demands with faster orderâtoâcash cycles in the US/Canada market. Assuming receivable days remain steady and capex stays modest, the cashâconversion ratio is expected to rise from the historical 0.75â0.80 to around 0.85â0.90, indicating a healthier cashâflow footing and a larger buffer for dividend or shareâbuyâback programs.
Trading implications: The uptick in margins and cash conversion is already reflected in a bullish price actionâvolumes have surged past the 20âday moving average and the stock is holding above its recent trendline. For a riskâmanaged entry, a pullâback to the 20âday MA (ââŻ5âŻ% lower than current levels) could offer a lowârisk, upsideâbiased position with a potential rally toward the next resistance at the 10âmonth high. Keep an eye on the forthcoming fullâyear results for confirmation of margin and cashâflow trends; any sign of margin compression or slower cash conversion could trigger a defensive stopâloss just below the 20âday MA.