What does the issuance of âŹ500âŻmillion subordinated notes maturing in 2055 imply for SCRâs cost of capital and credit rating?
Impact on SCRâs cost of capital
The âŹ500âŻmillion subordinated note tranche adds a new layer of longâdated âTierâŻ2â capital that can be counted toward SCRâs regulatory solvency ratio. Because the notes sit at the bottom of the debt stack, they are cheaper for the insurer than issuing fresh equityâinvestors will accept a modestly higher spread than senior paper but still price the securities below the equity hurdle rate. In practice the transaction pushes SCRâs weightedâaverage cost of capital down by a few basis points, a sign that the market views the insurer as having adequate capacity to absorb new capital without diluting existing shareholders.
Implications for the credit rating
Creditârating agencies treat subordinatedâdebt issuances as a âbufferâ that strengthens the balance sheet. Assuming the proceeds are used to bolster TierâŻ2 reserves rather than fund new underâwritten risk, the rating agencies will likely view the move as a proactive capitalâmanagement step, which can either (a) preserve the current rating or (b) trigger a modest upgrade if the added buffer improves the capitalâtoârisk ratio to a new, more comfortable threshold. The longâdated 2055 maturity does not, in itself, raise concernsârating bodies focus more on the quality of the capital tier than on maturity length.
Trading angle
Actionable takeâaway: The issuance signals a solid capital âtopâupâ that should underpin SCRâs solvency and keep funding costs restrained. In a market that still prices SCORâs credit spread at a relative premium (sentiment 80âŻ% positive), equity may retain upside, especially if a ratingâupgrade materialises. Consider buying SCR stock on any technical pullâbacks to testâtheâlevel (e.g., a 10â15âŻ% dip from recent highs) while keeping a close watch on ratingâagency commentary in the next 4â6âŻweeks. A downgrade surprise would be the primary downside risk; otherwise the capitalâraise is likely to support a modest rally.