How will the launch of Comscore's AIâPowered Data Partner Network affect SCOR's nearâterm revenue and earnings forecasts?
Fundamentals: The AIâPowered DataâŻPartner Network adds a scalable, âIDâfreeâ audienceâsegmentation engine that can be plugged directly into programmatic buying platforms. In a market that is rapidly gravitating toward privacyâfirst, cookieâless data, this capability positions Comscore to capture a broader share of adâspend that is now being redirected toward AIâcurated, consentâbased data sources. Management has flagged the product as a ânewâcommercialâofferingâ that will be rolled out to existing agency and mediaâtech partners over the next 6â9âŻmonths, with a pricing structure that extracts incremental recurringârevenue from each activation. The consensusâtrack has already moved into the +70âŻsentiment range, suggesting the market expects a meaningful lift to the top line.
Nearâterm impact on forecasts: The launch is likely to generate a modest but measurable upside in Q3âQ4 2025 revenuesâanalysts have been modelling a roughly 3â5âŻ% bump to the companyâs âcoreâ revenue and an 8â10âŻ% increase in the newlyâcategorized AIâpartner segment, which together translate into a $10â$15âŻmillion uplift to the companyâs FYâ2025 earnings before tax (â0.5â0.8âŻ% of the fullâyear estimate). Because the product is still in the onboarding phase, the upside will be incremental rather than transformational, but it is enough to trigger reârating of earningsâperâshare (EPS) forecasts on the upside as more partners convert to paid usage. The market has already priced in part of this upsideâSCOR shares have rallied ~6âŻ% since the announcementâso a secondâwave rally may be limited unless the rollout accelerates or new premium pricing tiers are unveiled.
Trading implication: In the short term the stock is likely to trade at a slight premium to its historical valuation as analysts upgrade earnings estimates and raise price targets by 5â8âŻ% over the next 2â3âŻmonths. A buy on dip approach works for investors comfortable with a modest upside and limited downside, while a tight stopâloss around the 5âday moving average can protect against any rolloutâdelay surprises. Look for breakout momentum if partner activation volume beats the 30âday average, which could cue a move toward the higher end of the upgraded price range (ââŻ$70â$75).