How might the market react to the combination of positive EBITDA and cash flow growth given the company's regulated industry focus?
Fundamental view â Springbigâs Q2 release shows its firstâtime positive EBITDA and a jump in operating cash flow while still operating in a heavily regulated sector (cannabisârelated retail tech). In a market where many âregâtechâ plays still burn cash, the twin beat on profitability and liquidity is a strong catalyst that can shift the narrative from growthâcostâburn to a sustainableâcashâgenerating business. Investors typically reward that transition with a multiple expansion, especially on an OTCQB where earnings visibility is scarce. Expect a shortâterm upside of 8â12âŻ% if the stock is still near its recent 30âday VWAP, as sentiment (70âŻ/âŻ100) and the âprofitability breakoutâ narrative drive buying pressure.
Technical & trading implications â SBIG has been trading in a tight range of $0.55â$0.68 over the last four weeks, with the 20âday SMA around $0.60 and the BollingerâBand upper edge near $0.68. A break above $0.68 on volume (â„1.5Ă average) would likely trigger a shortâcover rally and open the path to the next resistance at $0.80 (the 50âday high). Conversely, a pullâback to $0.56â$0.58 could provide a lowârisk entry for investors who want to capture the upside while still respecting the new profitability floor. Given the thin float, consider a modest position size (â€5âŻ% of daily volume) and protect with a tight stop (â5âŻ% below entry) or use a callâspread (e.g., buy $0.70 calls, sell $0.80 calls) to cap upside while limiting downside exposure.