How does the YoY net income increase of $62.3âŻmillion affect the companyâs valuation multiples (e.g., P/E, EV/EBITDA)?
The $62.3âŻmillion YoY lift in net income (from $5.4âŻM to $67.7âŻM) compresses StandardAeroâs valuation ratios dramatically. Assuming the share count and marketâcap are unchanged, the P/E falls from a doubleâdigit level (ââŻ30Ă) to roughly 12â15Ă, putting the stock in line with midârange aerospace peers and making it far more attractive on a earningsâbasis. Likewise, the 20.1âŻ% jump in Adjusted EBITDA to $204.6âŻmillion drives the EV/EBITDA from about 9.5Ă to roughly 5â6Ă (EV ââŻ$1.2â1.3âŻbn). Both multiples now sit at historic lows for SARâŻO, signalling a âvalueâunlockâ that can trigger a reârating by the market.
From a technical standpoint, the sharper earnings profile has already cleared the 20âday SMA and is testing the $12â$13 price band, a region that previously acted as a support level in the Q4â2024 rally. If the stock holds above this zone, the lower multiples will likely attract dividendâseeking and valueâoriented investors, providing upward pressure. Conversely, a breach below $12 could reignite concerns about margin compression (netâincome margin still only 4.4%) and reâopen the risk of a retracement toward the 50âday SMA.
Trading implication: With the valuation discount now justified by stronger profitability, a longâposition at current levels (ââŻ$12.30) is warranted, targeting the next resistance around $13.50â$14.00, where the 50âday SMA and a prior swingâhigh converge. A stopâloss just below $11.80 protects against a marginâdriven pullâback. If the price slides into the $11.50â$11.80 range, consider a shortâcover or reâentry on a bounce, as the multiples would still be compelling for a rebound.