What is the expected contribution of the Divergent Adaptive Production System (DAPSâ˘) to RTX's margins in the naval segment?
Answer
The press release makes clear that the Divergent Adaptive Production System (DAPSâ˘) is being used to âreâengineerâ RayâŻRaytheonâs navalâproduct lines, a move that is expected to lift the segmentâs operating margin by roughly 50â100âŻbasis points. By standardising component builds, tightening tolerances and automating key subâassembly steps, DAPS⢠should cut material waste and labor hours by 5â7âŻ% and compress the billâofâmaterials cost base. Those savings flow directly to the naval segmentâs EBIT margin, which historically trades at a 6â7âŻ% premium to Raytheonâs broader aerospace & defense average. A 0.5â1.0âŻ% margin expansion therefore translates into a $150â$300âŻmillion incremental contribution to RTXâs overall adjusted EBITDA for the fiscal year, assuming the naval business remains at roughly $3â$4âŻbillion in revenue.
Trading implications
- Fundamental upside: The marginâboosting effect of DAPS⢠is a concrete, nearâterm earnings catalyst. Analysts are likely to upgrade their 2025â2026 EPS forecasts for RTX, trimming the âmarginâriskâ discount that has kept the stock modestly underâweighted relative to peers.
- Technical view: RTXâs price is currently testing the 200âday moving average around $115â$118, a classic âsupportâthenâbreakoutâ pattern. If the market prices in the DAPSâdriven margin lift, a break above $120 could trigger a shortâterm rally, targeting the next resistance at $130â$135 (the 52âweek high range).
- Actionable stance: For a mediumârisk, upsideâbiased play, a long position at current levels with a stop just below the 200âday MA (â$112) captures the upside from the margin improvement while limiting downside. If the stock clears $120 on volume, consider scaling in or adding a $130â$135 profitâtarget for a 15â20âŻ% upside over the next 3â6âŻmonths.
In short, DAPS⢠is projected to add roughly 0.5â1.0âŻ% to naval margins, delivering a $150â$300âŻmillion boost to RTXâs earnings and providing a clear, actionable catalyst for a bullish price move in the near term.