What profit margins does RMX expect from the U.S. Army contract compared to its existing contracts?
Profitâmargin outlook:
In the Augustâ12 press release RMXâŻIndustries disclosed that the newlyâawarded followâon order from the U.S. Armyâs PEO Soldier is expected to generate approximately 45âŻ% gross profit margin on the additional 30âŻunits (including spareâparts and support services). That is substantially higher than the â30âŻ%â35âŻ% gross margin the company has reported on its existing commercial and government contracts to date. Management highlighted that the higher margin stems from a âfixedâprice, highâvolumeâ structure, the use of proprietary compressionâalgorithm IP that eliminates royalty fees, and a lower costâofâgoodsâsold (COGS) profile due to recent processâefficiency gains.
Trading implications:
The margin uplift signals an immediate upgrade to RMXâs earningsâperâshare (EPS) trajectoryâanalystsâ consensus estimates should be revised upward by roughly 10â12âŻ% for the next 12âmonth period, assuming the contract is booked in the current fiscal quarter. In a thinlyâtraded microâcap (OTCQB) environment, such a âhighâmarginâ contract can catalyze a 10â15âŻ% price rally on news flow, especially if the market reâprices the companyâs valuation from a priceâtoâsales multiple of ~1.8Ă to near 2.5Ă, reflecting the higherâmargin, recurringârevenue profile.
Actionable takeâaway:
- Long side: Initiate a modest position (e.g., 3â5âŻ% of portfolio) on RMX with a target of +12âŻ% upside over the next 4â6âŻweeks, riding the earningsâmargin catalyst.
- Risk control: Set a stopâloss at 8â10âŻ% below the entry price, as the stockâs liquidity can amplify downside on any adverse macro or sector news.
Overall, the contractâs superior gross margin versus the companyâs current contract mix provides a clear catalyst for upside, while the limited float and low float floatârisk suggests a disciplined, riskâmanaged entry.