What is the timeline for the lawsuitâs resolution, and how could interim developments move the market?
Timeline for resolution
The filing itself does not contain a hardâdeadline for a final judgment; however, securitiesâfraud class actions and similar securitiesâlaw suits typically run 12â18âŻmonths from the first complaint, with many cases stretching to twoâŻyears when the parties move to settlement or when the case is docketed in a federal district court. In practice, the âleadâinvestorâ clause in the EasterâŻRocMuni notice signals that the plaintiffsâ counsel expects the case to be resolved either by a settlement agreement or a courtâapproved resolution within that 12â to 18âmonth window. Consequently, traders should treat the midâtoâlateâ2025 to earlyâ2026 period as the most probable window for a definitive outcome (settlement, dismissal, or a trial verdict).
How interim developments could move the market
Because the fundâs shares (RMJAX, RMHVX, RMHIX) trade at a discount and carry a -60 sentiment score, any news that changes the perceived probability of a settlement or a court injunction will trigger shortâterm price swings.
Positive interim event (e.g., a settlement offer, a favorable preliminary injunction, or a positive SEC comment) â can lift the discount, trigger buying pressure and narrow the spread to NAV. Expect a rapid bounce, especially if volume spikes on the news; technical indicators (e.g., a break above the 20âday EMA and a rise in the RSI above 50) would confirm a shortâterm rally. A tactical response could be a smallâsize long or a âbuyâtheârumorâ position, with tight stops at the prior lowâvolume support level (typically the recent 5âday low).
Negative interim event (e.g., a court denial of a classâlead motion, a negative procedural ruling, or a statement that the case will proceed to trial) will reinforce the downside bias. The fundâs price will likely stay under pressure, potentially breaching the 20âday EMA and testing lower BollingerâBand levels. In that scenario a short or a protective put (or a shortâcall spread on the fundâs classâŻA shares) would be appropriate, with stopâlosses set just above the 20âday EMA to limit upside risk.
In summary, treat the next 12â18âŻmonths as the core resolution window; any substantive court filing or settlement news before then will act as a catalyst for the RMJAXârelated ETFs. Traders should stay positioned on the downside with tight risk controls, while keeping an eye on any filingâcourt or settlementârelated press releases that could trigger shortâterm volatility.