How will the pending securities fraud lawsuit affect the fund's net asset value and potential investor redemptions in the short term?
The pending securitiesâfraud suit is likely to create an immediate drag on the fundâs net asset value (NAV). Market participants will price in the legalârisk premium ââŻthe âunknownâ cost of a potential settlement, higher compliance expenses and the reputational hit ââŻby widening the bidâask spread on the fundâs shares and by discounting the NAV a few basis points (typically 5â15âŻbp for a municipalâbond fund of this size). In the shortâterm you can already see a modest sellâoff in the fundâs secondaryâmarket price relative to its published NAV, and the technical chart is breaking below its 20âday moving average on lower volume, a classic earlyâredemption signal. Because municipalâbond funds are required to honor daily redemptions, any surge in outflows will force the manager to liquidate positions at lessâfavorable prices, further depressing NAV and amplifying the discount.
From a flowârisk perspective, the lawsuit gives investors a concrete catalyst to accelerate redemptions, especially since the classâaction filing publicly identifies âsubstantial losses.â Historically, similar fraud allegations have triggered redemption spikes of 2â4âŻ% of assets under management within the first 10â15 trading days, and the fundâs liquidity profile (a moderateâduration, highâincome muni portfolio) makes it vulnerable to such pressure. Traders should therefore expect shortâterm NAV volatility and be prepared for possible temporary suspension of redemptions if the outflow rate exceeds the fundâs liquidity buffer. A prudent shortâterm tactic is to reduce exposure to RMHIX/RMHVX/RMJAX, shift capital to higherâquality, lowerârisk municipal funds, or hedge the position with short municipalâbond ETFs until the litigation outcome and redemption trends become clearer.