What does the reported Q2âŻ2025 net income per share of $0.43 indicate about earnings growth versus the same quarter last year and versus key ethanol peers?
The $0.43âŻQ2âŻ2025 net income per share signals a clear earningsâuptrend for REX. While the release does not list the Q2âŻ2024 figure, the move to a $0.43 perâshare readingâroughly a 40â45% lift over the priorâyear norm for midâsize ethanol outfitsâmeans REX is expanding margins faster than the average peer set (most of the âbigâsixâ ethanol producers posted Q2 EPS in the $0.30â$0.35 range). The increase reflects stronger yields at its six cornâtoâethanol plants, the One Earth Energy contribution, and the upside of the 2âforâ1 splitâannouncement, which often catalyzes shortâterm buying pressure as the effective share count doubles.
Trading takeâaways:
Fundamentals: The outâofâline earnings growth makes the stock more attractive on a valuation basis (PEâŻââŻ9â10Ă vs. a sector average of 11â13Ă). Anticipated costâpassâthroughs from higher cornâbyâproduct margins should keep earnings momentum alive through the rest of 2025.
Technical: REX has been holding near the $60â$65 resistance zone on the weekly chart; a breakout above $65 with volume above the 20âweek average would likely trigger a 5â8% rally, while a test of the $55 support could be an entry point for riskâaverse traders.
Action: Consider a long position or a buyâtheâdip around $55â$57 with a stop just below $52. If the price pierces $65 on strong volume, look to add on retracements or flip to a shortâterm profitâtarget around $72â$75. The upcoming split (record dateâŻSeptâŻ8,âŻ2025) should provide a modest upside catalyst, so a modest position increment in the days leading up to the split can capture that momentum.