How does Milwaukee’s resilience compare to other major markets where Redfin has significant exposure, such as New York, Los Angeles, and Boston? | REDF (Aug 06, 2025) | Candlesense

How does Milwaukee’s resilience compare to other major markets where Redfin has significant exposure, such as New York, Los Angeles, and Boston?

Milwaukee’s performance in a nutshell

  • Home‑sales growth: +12 % year‑over‑year (YoY)
  • Price growth: +8.2 % YoY
  • Seller‑price dynamics: The “typical seller” is receiving more than the list price (i.e., a modest seller‑price premium).

According to Redfin’s latest market‑report, Milwaukee is the only major U.S. city where the housing market is still posting double‑digit sales growth and solid price appreciation while sellers are comfortably clearing their asking price. The report explicitly frames Milwaukee as “holding up better than any other major U.S. housing market.”


How this stacks up against Redfin’s other “big‑ticket” metros (New York, Los Angeles, Boston)

Metric (Milwaukee) What we know about NY, LA & Boston from the same Redfin data set
Sales growth The Redfin release does not give specific YoY sales numbers for New York, Los Angeles or Boston. However, the phrasing “holding up better than any other major U.S. housing market” implies that those metros are either flat, modestly positive, or even negative in sales growth.
Price growth No explicit %‑change is supplied for NY, LA, Boston. Historically, those markets have seen price momentum that is more volatile—some quarters of double‑digit gains, others of stagnation or modest declines—especially as inventory constraints, higher mortgage rates, and affordability pressures have tightened demand. The lack of a “price up 8.2 %” headline for those cities suggests they are not matching Milwaukee’s steady 8 %+ appreciation.
Seller‑price premium The Milwaukee report highlights sellers “fetching more than their list price.” In the other metros, Redfin’s recent national commentary notes increasing list‑price‑to‑sale‑price gaps in the opposite direction (i.e., sellers often receiving below‑list offers as buyers negotiate harder). This is a classic sign of a cooling market, whereas Milwaukee is still on the “seller‑advantage” side.
Inventory & market speed While Milwaukee’s inventory level isn’t detailed, the broader report points out that Chicago (another Midwest hub) is seeing declining inventory and faster market speed—both hallmarks of a tightening, resilient market. By contrast, the coastal metros have been characterized by rising inventory and longer days‑on‑market in recent Redfin updates, indicating a softer demand environment.

Why Milwaukee’s resilience matters for Redfin’s exposure

  1. Geographic diversification – Redfin’s brokerage platform is heavily concentrated in the coastal “mega‑metros” (NY, LA, Boston). Those markets are more sensitive to macro‑economic headwinds (e.g., high mortgage rates, tighter credit, and affordability limits). Milwaukee’s mid‑west dynamics—lower price levels, more modest cost‑of‑living pressures, and a healthier balance between supply and demand—provide a counter‑cyclical buffer for Redfin’s overall portfolio.

  2. Revenue‑per‑sale premium – In a market where sellers are clearing above‑list prices, agents (and by extension Redfin’s brokerage) can capture higher commissions and transaction‑related fees. The 12 % sales‑growth boost also means more listings and more transaction volume for Redfin agents operating in Milwaukee, directly bolstering the company’s top line.

3 Inventory health – The mention of Chicago’s declining inventory and faster market speed suggests a regional trend toward tighter supply. If Milwaukee follows a similar path, the seller‑price premium could deepen, further differentiating it from the coastal markets where inventory has been expanding (softening price pressure).


Bottom‑line comparison

City Sales growth (YoY) Price growth (YoY) Sellers > List price?
Milwaukee +12 % (double‑digit) +8.2 % Yes – typical seller clears above list
New York Not disclosed (likely flat or modest) Not disclosed (historically volatile) Recent Redfin data show more below‑list offers
Los Angeles Not disclosed (likely modest/flat) Not disclosed (price growth slowed) Below‑list pressure evident
Boston Not disclosed (likely modest) Not disclosed (price momentum cooling) Below‑list trend reported

Interpretation: Based on the language of the Redfin report, Milwaukee is outperforming the three coastal powerhouses on all three core housing‑market health indicators—sales volume, price appreciation, and seller‑price advantage. The lack of comparable positive metrics for New York, Los Angeles, and Boston in the same release suggests those markets are either stagnant or experiencing a modest slowdown, whereas Milwaukee is still on an upward trajectory.


What to watch next

  • Redfin’s forthcoming regional breakdowns – When Redfin releases the next set of city‑level data, look for the exact YoY sales and price percentages for NY, LA, and Boston. That will confirm (or refine) the qualitative inference made here.
  • Inventory trends – If Milwaukee’s inventory begins to shrink (as hinted by the Chicago example), the seller‑price premium could rise even further, amplifying the divergence from the coastal markets.
  • Mortgage‑rate environment – Should rates stabilize or decline, the coastal metros might regain some momentum, narrowing the gap with Milwaukee. Conversely, a prolonged high‑rate environment could keep the coastal markets subdued while Milwaukee continues to benefit from its more affordable price base.

In short: Milwaukee’s housing market is the only major U.S. market that is still delivering double‑digit sales growth, solid price appreciation, and a seller‑price premium. By contrast, Redfin’s flagship exposure cities—New York, Los Angeles, and Boston—are not showing these same strengths in the current Redfin report, indicating that Milwaukee’s resilience is significantly stronger relative to those coastal markets.