How does Milwaukeeâs resilience compare to other major markets where Redfin has significant exposure, such as New York, Los Angeles, and Boston?
Milwaukeeâs performance in a nutshell
- Homeâsales growth:âŻ+12âŻ% yearâoverâyear (YoY)
- Price growth:âŻ+8.2âŻ% YoY
- Sellerâprice dynamics:âŻThe âtypical sellerâ is receiving more than the list price (i.e., a modest sellerâprice premium).
According to Redfinâs latest marketâreport, Milwaukee is the only major U.S. city where the housing market is still posting doubleâdigit sales growth and solid price appreciation while sellers are comfortably clearing their asking price. The report explicitly frames Milwaukee as âholding up better than any other major U.S. housing market.â
How this stacks up against Redfinâs other âbigâticketâ metros (NewâŻYork, LosâŻAngeles, Boston)
Metric (Milwaukee) | What we know about NY, LA & Boston from the same Redfin data set |
---|---|
Sales growth | The Redfin release does not give specific YoY sales numbers for NewâŻYork, LosâŻAngeles or Boston. However, the phrasing âholding up better than any other major U.S. housing marketâ implies that those metros are either flat, modestly positive, or even negative in sales growth. |
Price growth | No explicit %âchange is supplied for NY, LA, Boston. Historically, those markets have seen price momentum that is more volatileâsome quarters of doubleâdigit gains, others of stagnation or modest declinesâespecially as inventory constraints, higher mortgage rates, and affordability pressures have tightened demand. The lack of a âprice up 8.2âŻ%â headline for those cities suggests they are not matching Milwaukeeâs steady 8âŻ%+ appreciation. |
Sellerâprice premium | The Milwaukee report highlights sellers âfetching more than their list price.â In the other metros, Redfinâs recent national commentary notes increasing listâpriceâtoâsaleâprice gaps in the opposite direction (i.e., sellers often receiving belowâlist offers as buyers negotiate harder). This is a classic sign of a cooling market, whereas Milwaukee is still on the âsellerâadvantageâ side. |
Inventory & market speed | While Milwaukeeâs inventory level isnât detailed, the broader report points out that Chicago (another Midwest hub) is seeing declining inventory and faster market speedâboth hallmarks of a tightening, resilient market. By contrast, the coastal metros have been characterized by rising inventory and longer daysâonâmarket in recent Redfin updates, indicating a softer demand environment. |
Why Milwaukeeâs resilience matters for Redfinâs exposure
Geographic diversification â Redfinâs brokerage platform is heavily concentrated in the coastal âmegaâmetrosâ (NY, LA, Boston). Those markets are more sensitive to macroâeconomic headwinds (e.g., high mortgage rates, tighter credit, and affordability limits). Milwaukeeâs midâwest dynamicsâlower price levels, more modest costâofâliving pressures, and a healthier balance between supply and demandâprovide a counterâcyclical buffer for Redfinâs overall portfolio.
Revenueâperâsale premium â In a market where sellers are clearing aboveâlist prices, agents (and by extension Redfinâs brokerage) can capture higher commissions and transactionârelated fees. The 12âŻ% salesâgrowth boost also means more listings and more transaction volume for Redfin agents operating in Milwaukee, directly bolstering the companyâs top line.
3 Inventory health â The mention of Chicagoâs declining inventory and faster market speed suggests a regional trend toward tighter supply. If Milwaukee follows a similar path, the sellerâprice premium could deepen, further differentiating it from the coastal markets where inventory has been expanding (softening price pressure).
Bottomâline comparison
City | Sales growth (YoY) | Price growth (YoY) | Sellers > List price? |
---|---|---|---|
Milwaukee | +12âŻ% (doubleâdigit) | +8.2âŻ% | Yes â typical seller clears above list |
NewâŻYork | Not disclosed (likely flat or modest) | Not disclosed (historically volatile) | Recent Redfin data show more belowâlist offers |
LosâŻAngeles | Not disclosed (likely modest/flat) | Not disclosed (price growth slowed) | Belowâlist pressure evident |
Boston | Not disclosed (likely modest) | Not disclosed (price momentum cooling) | Belowâlist trend reported |
Interpretation: Based on the language of the Redfin report, Milwaukee is outperforming the three coastal powerhouses on all three core housingâmarket health indicatorsâsales volume, price appreciation, and sellerâprice advantage. The lack of comparable positive metrics for NewâŻYork, LosâŻAngeles, and Boston in the same release suggests those markets are either stagnant or experiencing a modest slowdown, whereas Milwaukee is still on an upward trajectory.
What to watch next
- Redfinâs forthcoming regional breakdowns â When Redfin releases the next set of cityâlevel data, look for the exact YoY sales and price percentages for NY, LA, and Boston. That will confirm (or refine) the qualitative inference made here.
- Inventory trends â If Milwaukeeâs inventory begins to shrink (as hinted by the Chicago example), the sellerâprice premium could rise even further, amplifying the divergence from the coastal markets.
- Mortgageârate environment â Should rates stabilize or decline, the coastal metros might regain some momentum, narrowing the gap with Milwaukee. Conversely, a prolonged highârate environment could keep the coastal markets subdued while Milwaukee continues to benefit from its more affordable price base.
In short:âŻMilwaukeeâs housing market is the only major U.S. market that is still delivering doubleâdigit sales growth, solid price appreciation, and a sellerâprice premium. By contrast, Redfinâs flagship exposure citiesâNewâŻYork, LosâŻAngeles, and Bostonâare not showing these same strengths in the current Redfin report, indicating that Milwaukeeâs resilience is significantly stronger relative to those coastal markets.