Will the partnership create any synergies that could improve Radware's cost structure or operational efficiency?
Synergy & CostâStructure Outlook
The managedâsecurityâservices agreement with Tet gives Radware immediate access to a retailâgrade broadband footprint in the Baltics, a market where Telcoâgrade security is still nascent. By leveraging Tetâs existing network, dataâcenter and billing infrastructure, Radware can ship its AIâpowered cloudâprotection suite with little incremental capex, effectively turning a pureâplay SaaS model into a hybrid âserviceâplusâdistributionâ channel. The partnership should therefore generate economies of scale in both R&D (shared threatâintel feeds across a larger customer base) and delivery (lower marginal cost per protected endpoint). Over the next 12â18âŻmonths we can expect a modest improvement to gross marginsâhistorically around 70âŻ%âpotentially nudging them into the midâ70âŻ% range if the Tet rollâout proceeds as scheduled.
Trading Implications
Technically, RDWR has been testing a higherâlow range (ââŻ$23â$27) with the 20âday SMA still above the 50âday SMA, indicating a shortâterm bullish bias. The partnership announcement lifted sentiment to +60, already priced into a 3â5âŻ% rally. If management can demonstrate incremental ARR of at least $12â$15âŻM from Tet (ââŻ5â6âŻ% of FYâ24 revenue) and confirm margin uplift, the stock could break the $28 resistance and target the $32â$34 corridor within the next quarter. Conversely, if integration costs or a slower-thanâexpected ISP adoption dampen the expected synergies, the price may retrace to the $22â$24 support zone. In practice, a modest âbuyâonâdipâ near $23.5â$24, with a stop loss around $21, aligns with the upside potential while limiting exposure to execution risk.