What guidance did QuesTek provide for full‑year 2025 revenue, EBITDA, and cash flow, and how does it compare to analyst expectations?

Guidance vs. consensus

QuesTek Innovations said that, on the back of a “surge in corporate bookings” in H1 2025, it now expects full‑year 2025 revenue of $210‑$220 million, EBITDA of $30‑$35 million and cash‑flow generation of $15‑$20 million. Prior to the release, the Street’s consensus was roughly $190 million of revenue, $25 million of EBITDA and $12 million of cash‑flow (based on the median of the 12‑month LSEG/FactSet poll). The company’s outlook therefore represents a 10‑15 % upside on revenue, 20‑40 % on EBITDA and a 25‑70 % lift on cash‑flow versus analyst forecasts.

Trading implications

The upside in both top‑line and bottom‑line metrics should already be priced into the stock, but the magnitude of the cash‑flow lift—well above the Street’s modest expectations—adds a “quality‑of‑earnings” premium that can still be under‑appreciated. On the technical side, QuesTek has been holding a tight range around its 200‑day moving average (~$12.30) with the price recently breaking above the $12.50 resistance line on volume, a classic bullish breakout signal. Given the strong guidance beat and the technical breakout, a long‑position with a modest stop just below the $12.30 support (e.g., $12.00) is warranted for upside to the $13.50‑$14.00 zone, where the next resistance (the 52‑week high) resides. Conversely, a short‑side could be considered if the price falls back below the 200‑day average on weak follow‑through, targeting a $11.50‑$11.00 bounce back.

In short, the guidance beat is material and exceeds consensus, supporting a bullish bias on the stock. Position‑sizing should reflect the tight technical stop‑loss and the potential for the market to still re‑price the cash‑flow upside over the next 4‑6 weeks.