Impact on liquidity & trading volume
The fiveâyear term extension pushes the maturity of both ClassâŻA and Preferred shares out toâŻMayâŻ29âŻ2031, turning a relatively shortâdated instrument into a longâdated one. In practice this does two things to market dynamics:
Liquidity â modestly tighter in the short run â With a later redemption date, investors have less incentive to sell now to free up cash before a looming maturity. Existing holders are likely to keep the shares onâbalanceâsheet for the extended horizon, which reduces the âforcedâsaleâ pressure that normally spikes around a maturity date. Consequently, the orderâbook depth on the TSX is expected to thin out a bit, meaning the bidâask spread could widen slightly and the market may become a touch less âinstantâliquid.â However, the extension is not a taxable event and the fund still offers a 10.2âŻ% distribution, which is relatively attractive for incomeâseeking capital. That dividend appeal should continue to attract new buyers, providing a baseline of liquidity even as turnover slows.
Trading volume â likely to decline â Because the extension removes the imminent need for positionârebalancing, the typical preâmaturity âsellâoffâ that temporarily lifts volume will disappear. Investors now have a longer runway to hold the shares, so the average daily turnover is expected to dip modestly until the next dividendâsetting date (the preferredâshare rate will be announced â„âŻ60âŻdays before the 2026 maturity). The market will become more âbuyâandâholdâ oriented, with fewer shortâterm speculative trades.
Actionable takeâaways
- Shortâterm: Anticipate a modest contraction in daily volume and a slightly wider spread. If you are a shortâterm trader, the reduced turnover may make it harder to fill large orders without moving the price; consider scaling in/out or using limit orders.
- Mediumâterm: The 10.2âŻ% distribution and the prospect of capital appreciation keep the demand base solid. Look for price support around the Augustâclose level, especially if the dividendârate announcement aligns with marketâyield expectations.
- Positioning: For incomeâfocused investors, the extension is a net positive â the fund remains a highâyield, nonâtaxable vehicle with a longer horizon, making it a suitable hold. For liquidityââsensitive traders, be prepared for a quieter market and plan trades around the next dividendârate reset (likely in earlyâ2026).
Overall, the term extension will soften liquidity and trim trading volume but should not jeopardize the fundâs ability to trade; the attractive yield and longer maturity actually support a stable, lowerâvolatility price environment.