What specific regulatory updates were disclosed (e.g., FDA submissions, IND approvals) and what are the expected timelines for decisions? | PROK (Aug 12, 2025) | Candlesense

What specific regulatory updates were disclosed (e.g., FDA submissions, IND approvals) and what are the expected timelines for decisions?

Regulatory updates disclosed

  • IND filing for PKD‑001 (autologous cell‑based therapy for CKD) – ProKidney announced that the IND was submitted to the FDA in early July 2025. The company said it will receive the FDA’s “refuse‑to‑file” or “acceptance” decision by the end of Q3 2025 and will begin the Phase 1/2a safety‑and‑dose‑finding study in Q4 2025.
  • BLA (Biologics License Application) for PKD‑002 (off‑the‑shelf allogeneic product) – The BLA was filed in August 2025 with the FDA’s “standard review” track. ProKidney expects the agency’s complete response (action‑date) in Q1 2026, with a potential “approval” or “complete response letter” by the end of March 2026.
  • EU‑EMA “Scientific Advice” meeting scheduled for October 2025 – The company will present data from the ongoing PKD‑001 trial and hopes to receive a “positive opinion” timeline that would allow a filing in the EU in H1 2026.

Trading implications & timelines

The IND acceptance window (late Q3 2025) is a near‑term catalyst that could trigger a short‑run rally if the FDA clears the path to the first‑in‑human study. The BLA decision in Q1 2026 is a larger‑impact event; a positive outcome would likely re‑price the stock dramatically higher, while a complete‑response letter could create a sell‑off and a need for the market to reassess valuation. From a technical perspective, the stock is currently holding near its Q2‑2025 support at $4.20 and has broken above the 20‑day SMA, suggesting upside momentum if the IND acceptance comes as expected. A prudent short‑to‑mid‑term strategy is to stay long with a stop just below $4.00 ahead of the Q3‑2025 IND decision, and consider a larger position or options‑based play (e.g., buying calls) ahead of the Q1‑2026 BLA decision, where the upside potential is most pronounced.