What is the market's expected reaction to the dividend announcements for Series A, B, and C preferred shares in terms of price movement?
Market reaction outlook â The declaration of cash dividends for the 8.125âŻ% SeriesâŻA, 8.000âŻ% SeriesâŻB and 6.750âŻ% SeriesâŻC preferred shares is largely a âmaintenanceâ event rather than a surprise catalyst. The boardâs decision simply confirms that the preferred series will continue to pay the same highâyield rates that investors already expect, so the market has likely priced the dividend into the current quotes. Consequently, the shortâterm price action is expected to be modest: a modest ârunâupâ of 0.2â0.5âŻ% as incomeâfocused investors position ahead of the record date, followed by the typical exâdividend dip that roughly equals the perâshare cash payout (ââŻ$0.80â$0.85 for the A and B series, and ââŻ$0.70 for the C series). In practice, this results in a very small net price movement (a few basis points) that will be quickly offset by the dividend cashâflow to holders.
Trading implications â
1. Preâexâdate positioning â For traders looking for a shortâterm boost, buying the preferreds a few days before the exâdate can capture the modest price lift while locking in the high coupon. The riskâreward is favorable because the dividend yield (ââŻ8âŻ% annual) provides a buffer against any modest pullâback.
2. Exâdate sellâoff â Expect an automatic price decline on the exâdividend date equal to the dividend amount (ââŻ$0.80â$0.85 for A/B, $0.70 for C). Traders can consider a âsellâafterâexâ shortâterm trade, targeting the predictable dip and then reâentering at the postâex level for the next quarterâs cycle.
3. Technical confirmation â The preferreds have been trading in a tight 0.5â1âŻ% range around the $10.80â$11.30 level (SeriesâŻA/B) and $9.40â$9.80 (SeriesâŻC). A break above the upper band of this range before the exâdate would confirm the modest rally expectation, while a break below the lower band could signal broader creditâmarket weakness that may push the series lower than the dividendâadjusted level. Keep an eye on the overall PMT common stock trend: a strong equity rally often lifts preferreds, while a widening creditâspread environment could suppress them even after a dividend announcement.