How sustainable is the dividend given ePlus's current cash flow, earnings coverage, and payout ratio? | PLUS (Aug 07, 2025) | Candlesense

How sustainable is the dividend given ePlus's current cash flow, earnings coverage, and payout ratio?

Short answer:

Based on the press release you shared, ePlus Inc. has only announced the amount of its inaugural quarterly dividend ($0.25 per share). The release does not contain the financial metrics—cash‑flow generation, earnings‑per‑share (EPS), or the dividend payout ratio—that are normally used to assess dividend sustainability. Consequently, any judgment about how “sustainable” this dividend is must be based on data that are not provided in the news item and will have to be sourced from ePlus’s recent financial statements (Form 10‑Q, Form 10‑K, earnings releases, or analyst reports).

Below is a step‑by‑step framework you can use to evaluate sustainability once the relevant numbers are at hand, together with what we can infer from the limited information in the announcement.


1. What “sustainability” Means in Dividend‑Paying Companies

Metric Why It Matters Typical Benchmarks
Free Cash Flow (FCF) per share Dividends must be funded by cash that is truly free (operating cash flow minus capex). FCF ≥ Dividend per share (ideally 1.5‑2×)
Earnings‑per‑Share (EPS) A proxy for profitability; the dividend should be covered by earnings. Dividend payout ratio (Div/ EPS) ≤ 60‑70 % for many mature firms; high‑growth firms often ≤ 30‑40 %
Dividend Coverage Ratio EPS ÷ Dividend per share (or FCF ÷ Dividend). > 2.0 for earnings coverage; > 1.5 for cash‑flow coverage
Payout Ratio (Div/ EPS) Shows how much of earnings are being returned to shareholders. 30‑50 % is common for “sustainable” dividends; > 80‑90 % may be risky unless cash flow is very strong
Historical Trend Companies that maintain or grow dividends over multiple periods signal commitment. Consistency or upward trajectory is a positive sign.
Leverage & Liquidity High debt or weak balance sheet can constrain cash available for dividends. Debt‑to‑EBITDA < 3‑4, Current Ratio > 1.2 are comfortable ranges.

A dividend is sustainable when the company can continue paying it without jeopardizing its ability to invest in growth, service debt, or meet working‑capital needs. The key is to compare the dividend amount to both earnings and cash generation over recent periods.


2. Information Missing from the Press Release

Needed Data Where to Find It
Free cash flow (or operating cash flow & CapEx) – preferably the most recent quarterly and trailing‑12‑month figures. ePlus Form 10‑Q (Q2 2025) or earnings press release.
Net income / EPS – quarterly and trailing‑12‑month. Same sources as above.
Current dividend payout ratio – calculated as Dividend per share ÷ EPS. EPS from the same period.
Dividend coverage ratio – EPS ÷ Dividend per share (or FCF ÷ Dividend). Combine EPS/FCF with dividend amount.
Balance‑sheet health – debt levels, cash on hand, liquidity ratios. Form 10‑K (2024) or most recent 10‑Q.
Management commentary on dividend policy, growth plans, and capital‑allocation priorities. Earnings call transcript, investor presentations, or MD&A.

Without these numbers, we cannot compute the specific coverage ratios or payout percentages.


3. How to Perform the Sustainability Check (once you have the data)

Step‑by‑Step Calculation Example (illustrative only)

Assume (hypothetical numbers for illustration – do not treat as actual ePlus data):
- Quarterly EPS (most recent) = $0.45 → Annualized EPS ≈ $1.80

- Quarterly free cash flow per share = $0.60 → Annualized FCF ≈ $2.40

- Dividend per quarter = $0.25 → Annual dividend = $1.00

Metric Calculation Interpretation
Payout Ratio (Earnings) $1.00 ÷ $1.80 ≈ 56 % Within a typical “sustainable” range (≤ 70 %).
Payout Ratio (Cash‑Flow) $1.00 ÷ $2.40 ≈ 42 % Strong cash‑flow coverage.
Earnings Coverage $1.80 ÷ $0.25 ≈ 7.2× Very comfortable.
Cash‑Flow Coverage $2.40 ÷ $0.25 ≈ 9.6× Very comfortable.
Leverage Debt/EBITDA = 2.5 Not a red flag.

If the real numbers look roughly like the above, the dividend would be considered highly sustainable. Conversely, if EPS were only $0.20 (annualized $0.80) and FCF only $0.30 (annualized $1.20), the payout ratios would be 125 % (earnings) and 83 % (cash flow) – a clear warning sign that the dividend may be unsustainable without a turnaround.

Red‑Flag Checklist

Red Flag What It Means
Payout ratio > 80 % (earnings) Dividend may be eating most of the profits; any earnings dip could force a cut.
Free‑cash‑flow coverage < 1.0× The company is paying more cash out than it generates—unsustainable in the long run.
Sharp increase in debt or low liquidity Cash needed for debt service could crowd out dividend payments.
Negative free cash flow Dividend likely financed by borrowing or asset sales—highly risky.
No clear dividend policy disclosed Management may view the dividend as a one‑off or a “test” rather than a commitment.

4. What the Announcement Suggests (Qualitative Takeaways)

  1. First Dividend – ePlus is moving from a no‑dividend policy to paying out cash. Companies that start paying dividends often do so once they reach a certain level of cash‑flow stability. The inaugural amount ($0.25 per share) is modest relative to many tech‑hardware or services peers, which could indicate a cautious approach.

  2. Quarterly Frequency – By opting for a quarterly payout rather than a special one‑time dividend, the board signals an intent to make this a recurring item, pending approval of future board actions.

  3. Board Approval – The dividend was declared by the board, not merely management – an important governance step that adds credibility.

  4. Market Reaction – Although not covered in the release, you can check the stock’s price movement on the ex‑dividend date and analyst commentary (e.g., “dividend initiators often see a modest price bump, but the sustainability discussion follows shortly after earnings release”).


5. Recommended Next Steps for You

  1. Pull the Latest Financials

    • Download ePlus’s Form 10‑Q for the quarter ending June 30 2025 (or the most recent earnings press release).
    • Locate:
      • Net income (or EPS) → compute annualized EPS.
      • Operating cash flow and capital expenditures → compute free cash flow (FCF).
      • Total debt, cash & equivalents → evaluate leverage and liquidity.
  2. Calculate the Core Ratios

    • Earnings payout ratio = (Annual dividend) ÷ (Annual EPS)
    • Cash‑flow payout ratio = (Annual dividend) ÷ (Annual FCF)
    • Earnings coverage = EPS ÷ (Quarterly dividend)
    • FCF coverage = FCF per share ÷ (Quarterly dividend)
  3. Benchmark Against Peers

    • Compare these ratios to other mid‑market technology‑solutions companies that pay dividends (e.g., CDW, Insight Enterprises).
  4. Read Management Commentary

    • Check the Q2 2025 earnings call transcript for any statements about “dividend policy”, “capital allocation”, or “cash‑flow outlook”.
    • Look for guidance on future dividend amounts or growth (e.g., “we intend to increase the dividend modestly each year”).
  5. Monitor Upcoming Reports

    • The next quarterly earnings (Q3 2025) will be the first real test of sustainability. Analysts will scrutinize whether the dividend is covered and whether any adjustments are announced.

6. Bottom‑Line Assessment (Given the Information Gap)

  • We cannot definitively say whether the $0.25 quarterly dividend is sustainable because the press release does not provide the necessary cash‑flow, earnings, or payout‑ratio figures.
  • Qualitatively, the fact that ePlus is starting a dividend and doing so on a quarterly basis suggests management believes cash generation is sufficient to support a modest payout.
  • Quantitatively, you need to retrieve the most recent earnings and cash‑flow data, compute the coverage ratios, and compare them to industry norms.

Once you have those numbers, plug them into the tables above and you’ll have a clear, data‑driven answer to the sustainability question. If you’d like help interpreting the actual numbers once you obtain them, feel free to share them and I can walk you through the calculations.