How does PAYâs current valuation compare to peers in the cloudâbased billâpayment space after this earnings beat?
Short answer:
The press release you shared tells us that PaymentâŻUs (NYSE:âŻPAY) posted a very strong quarterârevenues upâŻââŻ42âŻ% YoY, contribution profit upâŻââŻ22âŻ% YoY, and adjusted EBITDA upâŻââŻ41âŻ% YoY.âŻHowever, the release does not include any of the valuation metrics (e.g., priceâtoâearnings, enterpriseâvalueâtoâEBITDA, priceâtoâsales, marketâcap, or shareâprice movement) that are required to directly compare PAYâs current valuation with that of its peers in the cloudâbased billâpayment space.
Below is a structured guide that explains:
- Which valuation numbers you need to make a meaningful âvaluationâvsâpeersâ comparison after an earnings beat.
- How to obtain those numbers for both PAY and its competitors.
- What the typical âpeer setâ looks like for a cloudâbased billâpayment company.
- A template for the actual comparative analysis once you have the data.
1. Key Valuation Metrics Needed
Metric | Why it matters for a cloudâbased payment SaaS company | Typical source |
---|---|---|
Current Share Price (and any recent price movement after the earnings release) | Determines market perception of the earnings beat and overall sentiment. | Stock exchange, Bloomberg/FactSet, Yahoo Finance |
Market Capitalization | Gives a âsizeâ baseline to compare multiples. | Same as above â market cap = share price Ă shares outstanding. |
Enterprise Value (EV) = Market cap + debt â cash | EV is the denominator used for EV/EBITDA and EV/Revenue multiples; it removes the effect of capital structure. | Bloomberg/FactSet/SEC filings |
EV/EBITDA (or Adjusted EBITDA) | Preferred for SaaS because EBITDA is a proxy for cashâflow generation; EV/EBITDA is a common âvaluationâvsâgrowthâ multiple. | Company earnings release, SEC 10âQ, or financial data providers. |
PriceâtoâSales (P/S) | Revenue growth is a key driver for SaaS; P/S helps compare companies that may still be lossâmaking. | Same as above. |
PriceâtoâEarnings (P/E) (if earnings are positive) | Traditional profitability measure, useful if peers are profitable. | Same as above. |
Forwardâlooking multiples (e.g., forward EV/EBITDA, forward P/E) | Gives insight into market expectations of future growth. | Consensus analyst estimates (FactSet, Refinitiv, Bloomberg). |
Revenue growth rate (YoY) | To put multiples in contextâhighâgrowth companies typically command higher multiples. | The press release already gives this for PAY (â41.9âŻ% YoY). |
Margin metrics (e.g., Adjusted EBITDA margin, contribution margin) | Helps explain why a company may be valued higher or lower than peers (higher margins = premium). | Earnings release, 10âQ. |
Free Cash Flow (FCF) margin | Important for SaaS businesses that require cash for scaling. | 10âQ/10âK. |
2. Where to Pull the Data
Source | What youâll Find | How to Access |
---|---|---|
NASDAQ/NYSE official pages | Latest share price and market cap. | https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/pay |
SEC EDGAR (10âQ, 10âK) | Detailed balance sheet (for EV), cashâflow, footnotes on debt, cash, and EBITDA calculations. | https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search |
Bloomberg/FactSet/Refinitiv | Consolidated EV, EV/EBITDA, P/E, forward multiples, peer sets. | Subscription needed; often available through broker platforms. |
Yahoo Finance, Google Finance | Quick view of market cap, P/E, P/S, recent news. | Free. |
Analyst research reports (e.g., JPâŻMorgan, MorganâŻStanley) | Peerâset identification, target price, implied valuation multiples. | Usually through brokerage platform. |
Industry reports (e.g., Gartner, IDC) | Market share and competitive landscape for cloudâbased billâpayment providers. | Subscription/paid report. |
3. Typical Peer Set for a CloudâBased BillâPayment Platform
Company | Ticker | Primary Focus |
---|---|---|
FIS (Fidelity National Information Services) | FIS | Broad financialâservices technology, includes billâpayment solutions. |
PayPal (PYPL) | PYPL | Digital payments, includes billâpay functionality in a broader consumerâfacing platform. |
Square (Block, Inc.) | SQ (now BLOCK) | POS & payment processing, includes billâpayment APIs for merchants. |
ACI Worldwide | ACI | Payment processing platform, includes billâpayment solutions for enterprises. |
Nets (private, but sometimes listed via parent) | â | European leader in billâpayment, cloudâbased. |
Billtrust (private, but often benchmarked) | â | B2B invoicing & payment cloud platform. |
PayU (private/partially public) | â | Emerging market billâpayment SaaS. |
Payciti (private) | â | Smaller niche cloud billâpayment provider. |
Note: Because the âcloudâbased billâpaymentâ niche is relatively narrow, analysts often group PAY with SaaSâfocused fintech companies (e.g., DocuSign, Okta, Twilio) for valuationâmultiple benchmarking. If you want a pureâplay comparison, the list above is a starting point.
4. How to Conduct the Comparison (StepâbyâStep)
Collect PAYâs latest valuation numbers (as of the day after the earnings release).
- Example (hypothetical):
- Share price: $55
- Shares outstanding: 150âŻM â Market cap = $8.25âŻB
- Debt: $1.0âŻB, Cash: $0.5âŻB â EV = $8.25âŻB + $1.0âŻB â $0.5âŻB = $8.75âŻB
- Adjusted EBITDA (quarter): $85âŻM (annualized â $340âŻM)
- EV/AdjâEBITDA (annualized) â $8.75âŻB / $340âŻM â 25.7x (example).
- Revenue (quarter): $400âŻM (annualized â $1.6âŻB) â P/S â 5.2x.
- Share price: $55
- Example (hypothetical):
Collect the same metrics for each peer (preferably the last twelve monthsâLTMâfigures).
- Example (illustrative only):
- FIS: EV/AdjâEBITDA ~ 12x, P/S ~ 3.5x, Revenue growth 7âŻ% YoY.
- PayPal: EV/AdjâEBITDA ~ 18x, P/S ~ 7x, growth 9âŻ% YoY.
- ACI: EV/AdjâEBITDA ~ 22x, P/S ~ 5.5x, growth 12âŻ% YoY.
- FIS: EV/AdjâEBITDA ~ 12x, P/S ~ 3.5x, Revenue growth 7âŻ% YoY.
- Example (illustrative only):
Normalize the multiples for growth differences:
- Growthâadjusted EV/EBITDA = EV/EBITDA Ă· (1 + revenueâgrowth).
- Higher âgrowthâadjustedâ multiples indicate a premium for growth.
- Growthâadjusted EV/EBITDA = EV/EBITDA Ă· (1 + revenueâgrowth).
Interpret the spread:
- If PAYâs EV/AdjâEBITDA (â25Ă) is significantly higher than the peer median (â18Ă), the market is pricing in a growth premium (perhaps due to the 41.9âŻ% revenue growth).
- If the P/S is also above peer median, the premium extends to the top line.
- Conversely, if EV/AdjâEBITDA is lower than peers despite higher growth, the market may be skeptical about sustainability, or the stock may be underâvalued.
- If PAYâs EV/AdjâEBITDA (â25Ă) is significantly higher than the peer median (â18Ă), the market is pricing in a growth premium (perhaps due to the 41.9âŻ% revenue growth).
Check postâearnings stock reaction:
- Compare the % price change from the day before earnings to the day after. A large positive move (e.g., +7âŻ% on the day) would suggest investors rewarded the beat and may have widened the valuation gap.
Assess analyst outlook:
- Look at consensus EPS estimates vs. actual. If the company ** beat both revenue and earnings, analysts may **raise target price, further supporting a higher valuation relative to peers.
5. What the Answer Would Look Like (once the data is in)
âAfter the Q2â2025 earnings beat, PaymentâŻUs trades at an enterpriseâvalueâtoâadjustedâEBITDA multiple of roughly 26Ă, which is about 30âŻ% higher than the median 20Ă multiple of its cloudâbased billâpayment peers (FIS, PayPal, ACI, etc.). Its priceâtoâsales multiple of ~5.5Ă also sits above the peer median of 4.2Ă. The higher multiples reflect the companyâs 41.9âŻ% YoY revenue growthâwell above the 10â12âŻ% growth of the comparable companiesâplus a 40âŻ% YoY increase in adjusted EBITDA. The market reacted positively; the stock rose 5.8âŻ% on the day of the release, and analysts raised their 12âmonth price target from $50 to $58, implying a further 10â12âŻ% upside. Taken together, the data suggest that PaymentâŻUs is trading at a premium to its peers, but the premium appears justified by its superior growth and margin expansion.â
But: the press release you provided does not contain any of the above numbers, so we cannot compute the exact multiples or the relative premium/discount without pulling the latest market data and the financial statements of both PAY and its peers.
6. BottomâLine Summary for the Question
Because the earnings release you shared does not include current marketâvaluation data (share price, market cap, debt, cash, EV, P/E, EV/EBITDA, or comparable peer multiples), we cannot directly state how PAYâs valuation compares to its peers after this earnings beat.
To answer the question precisely, you need to:
- Retrieve PAYâs latest marketâcap and EV (from a realâtime market data source).
- Calculate or obtain PAYâs EV/EBITDA and priceâtoâsales (or other relevant multiples) using the latest financial statements (10âQ).
- Gather the same multiples for a defined set of cloudâbased billâpayment peers (FIS, PayPal, ACI, etc.) from the same data source and for the same period (LTM).
- Compare the multiples, adjusting for growth differentials.
- Consider the stock price reaction and any analyst targetâprice changes.
Once those numbers are in hand, you can apply the framework above to produce a concrete âvaluationâvsâpeersâ assessment. If you have access to a financial data platform (e.g., Bloomberg, FactSet, or a brokerage terminal), you can quickly pull the required numbers and perform the analysis in a few minutes.
If you can provide the current share price, marketâcap, or EV/EBITDA numbers for PAY and its peers, I can run the exact calculations for you.