What is the potential exposure for GAMMA's advisory clients who hold the preâmerger Class A shares?
Potential exposure
GAMCOâs advisory clients that still own the preâmerger Paramount Global (PAR) ClassâŻA shares are effectively âlongâ a stock whose merger consideration is now being challenged in a Delaware classâaction lawsuit. The exposure is the downâside gap between the current market price of the ClassâŻA shares and the value that will be delivered to shareholders once the merger is consummated (or unwound).
If the market continues to price PAR at roughly the same level as it did in the days before the AugustâŻ7,âŻ2025 announcement (ââŻ$7â$8 per share) and the court ultimately finds the consideration â a mix of cash and Skydanceâissued stock â to be âunfair and inequitable,â the equity component could be writtenâdown by a few dollars per share. For a typical advisory client holding, say, 10,000âŻClassâŻA shares, a $2â$3 perâshare shortfall translates into $20â$30âŻk of potential loss. The total exposure for the 750âŻclients collectively could run into the lowâmidâhundreds of millions of dollars, given the aggregate preâmerger position reported by GAMCO.
Trading implications
- Shortâside risk: Until the merger consideration is resolved, the ClassâŻA shares remain vulnerable to a downward correction. A modest short position or a protective put can hedge the downside for clients who cannot offâload the shares quickly.
- Liquidity & price action: The lawsuit has already injected a negative bias (sentiment â60) into the ticker, and volume has spiked on the âclassâactionâ news. Expect continued selling pressure and a technical break below the $7â$8 range to act as a trigger for further declines.
- Eventâdriven opportunity: If the court awards a favorable settlement or the merger proceeds on terms that are deemed fair, the stock could rebound sharply. Position sizing should therefore be modest, with a clear stop near the recent low (ââŻ$6.50) and a target at the preâmerger price level if the case is resolved positively.
In short, GAMCOâs advisory clients face a potential multiâmillionâdollar downside exposure on their preâmerger PAR ClassâŻA holdings. Managing that risk through hedges, tight stops, and close monitoring of the classâaction developments is the most prudent approach.