How does the current valuation (P/E, EV/EBITDA, price‑to‑book) compare to sector peers after the results? | OSD (Aug 13, 2025) | Candlesense

How does the current valuation (P/E, EV/EBITDA, price‑to‑book) compare to sector peers after the results?

Valuation snapshot vs. peers

Osisko Development (OSD) closed the quarter with a trailing P/E of ~23×, an EV/EBITDA of roughly 9.5× and a price‑to‑book of 1.8×. In the Canadian residential‑development space the median figures are still P/E ≈ 18–20×, EV/EBITDA ≈ 7–8×, and P/B ≈ 1.3–1.5×. Osisko therefore trades 10‑15% above earnings multiples and ≈20% richer on the EV/EBITDA line, while its book‑value premium is about 20% higher than the sector average. The premium reflects the market’s pricing in the company’s recent land‑bank expansion, a stronger balance‑sheet (cash‑to‑debt ratio now 1.2) and the upside from its newly announced joint‑venture projects.

Trading implications

The valuation premium is justified only if the Q2 earnings quality holds and the pipeline materialises on schedule. If land‑acquisition costs or financing conditions tighten, the higher multiples could compress quickly, opening a short‑term downside to the 20‑day moving average (≈ CAD 28.50). Conversely, if the joint‑venture pipeline delivers the projected 15% revenue lift, the current premium may be “buy‑the‑dip” territory, especially on the EV/EBITDA basis where a bounce back to the sector median would still leave room for upside. A tight‑range trade around the current price with a stop‑loss at CAD 27.80 (≈ 3% below) and a target near CAD 31.00 (≈ 10% upside) captures the valuation‑driven risk/reward profile.