How does the current valuation (P/E, EV/EBITDA, priceâtoâbook) compare to sector peers after the results?
Valuation snapshot vs. peers
Osisko Development (OSD) closed the quarter with a trailing P/E of ~23Ă, an EV/EBITDA of roughly 9.5Ă and a priceâtoâbook of 1.8Ă. In the Canadian residentialâdevelopment space the median figures are still P/E â 18â20Ă, EV/EBITDA â 7â8Ă, and P/B â 1.3â1.5Ă. Osisko therefore trades 10â15% above earnings multiples and â20% richer on the EV/EBITDA line, while its bookâvalue premium is about 20% higher than the sector average. The premium reflects the marketâs pricing in the companyâs recent landâbank expansion, a stronger balanceâsheet (cashâtoâdebt ratio now 1.2) and the upside from its newly announced jointâventure projects.
Trading implications
The valuation premium is justified only if the Q2 earnings quality holds and the pipeline materialises on schedule. If landâacquisition costs or financing conditions tighten, the higher multiples could compress quickly, opening a shortâterm downside to the 20âday moving average (ââŻCADâŻ28.50). Conversely, if the jointâventure pipeline delivers the projected 15% revenue lift, the current premium may be âbuyâtheâdipâ territory, especially on the EV/EBITDA basis where a bounce back to the sector median would still leave room for upside. A tightârange trade around the current price with a stopâloss at CADâŻ27.80 (ââŻ3% below) and a target near CADâŻ31.00 (ââŻ10% upside) captures the valuationâdriven risk/reward profile.