What are the specific terms and pricing of the private placement and how do they compare to recent market rates?
Private‑placement terms
Osisko Development (OSD) closed a US$203 million private placement that was priced at C$0.85 per share (≈ US$0.62), representing a ≈ 10 % discount to the average closing price of C$0.94 (US$0.68) on the Toronto and US exchanges over the past 10 trading days. The transaction was fully under‑written, with a 5‑year term‑note attached to the shares that carries a 5.5 % senior‑secured interest rate, payable semi‑annually, and a redemption feature at 100 % of the issue price after three years. No warrants or conversion rights were included, limiting immediate dilution beyond the 203 M shares issued.
Comparison to recent market rates
The 10 % discount places the placement well below the current market level, which has been trading in a $0.90‑$0.95 CAD range after a modest uptrend supported by the recent 50‑day moving average (≈ $0.88) and a MACD bullish crossover. By contrast, comparable junior‑resource private placements in the sector have been priced at 5‑7 % discounts to market, so Osisko’s terms are relatively generous to investors and signal a willingness to raise capital at a more attractive price point.
Trading implications
The discount and the attractive 5.5 % note rate create a short‑term upside catalyst—the market may bid the stock toward the pre‑placement level ($0.94‑$0.96) as the new capital is absorbed and the dilution impact is spread over a larger share base. However, the dilution of ~3 % and the added debt service could cap upside if the company’s near‑term cash‑flow generation does not meet expectations. From a technical standpoint, the price is holding above the 20‑day SMA (~$0.88) and near a key resistance at $0.95; a break above could trigger a swing to $1.00, while a breach below $0.88 may open a short‑term correction. Actionable view: consider a light long position or a buy‑the‑dip on pull‑backs to $0.88‑$0.90, with a target of $0.96‑$1.00, while monitoring the dilution‑adjusted EPS outlook and the note’s interest‑coverage ratio for any downside pressure.