How does the $10.25 per share offer compare to Olo's recent trading range and peer valuation multiples?
Short answer:
The news release you provided does not include Oloâs (NYSE:âŻOLO) recent stockâprice range, nor does it give the valuation multiples (e.g., EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, P/E) of Oloâs peer group. Consequently, we cannot calculate a precise premium/discount or a direct multipleâbyâmultiple comparison based solely on the information youâve posted.
How to evaluate the $10.25âŻperâshare offer in context
Below is a stepâbyâstep guide you can use to assess how the $10.25 perâshare price stacks up against:
- Oloâs recent trading range (the market price the shares have been trading at in the recent weeks/months).
- Peerâgroup valuation multiples (how similar companies are being valued relative to revenue, earnings, or cash flow).
1. Compare the offer price to Oloâs recent stock price
Step | What to do | Typical data sources |
---|---|---|
a. Get the recent price range | Look up Oloâs daily closing price for the last 30â60âŻdays (or the period you consider most relevant). Note the high, low, and especially the closing price on the day before the announcement. | Bloomberg, Reuters, YahooâŻFinance, Google Finance, your brokerage platform. |
b. Calculate the premium/discount | [Offer price â Recent close] á Recent close Ă 100âŻ% (or use the midpoint of the recent range). This yields the % premium (or discount) the offer represents. | Simple spreadsheet or calculator. |
c. Interpret | ⢠Premium â The offer is above market price, implying a possible âfairâ or âgenerousâ offer. ⢠Discount â The offer is below market price, suggesting the market believes the company is worth less (or the buyer expects synergies). |
No additional data needed. |
Example (illustrative only â do not treat as actual data)
â If Olo closed at $12.50 on the day before the announcement, the $10.25 price would be a â18âŻ% discount.
â If Olo closed at $9.00, the offer would be a +14âŻ% premium.
2. Compare to peerâgroup valuation multiples
Stepâbyâstep:
Step | Action | Typical peers & data sources |
---|---|---|
a. Identify comparable companies | Choose companies that operate in the same segment (e.g., online foodâordering & delivery platforms, restaurant technology SaaS). Typical peers: Grubhub (GRUB), DoorDash (DASH), Toast (TOST), Square (SQ) â now Block (SQ), and other restaurantâmanagement platforms (e.g., Culinary Holdings, NCR, Toast). | Bloomberg âPeersâ tab, S&P Capital IQ, FactSet, public filings. |
b. Gather key multiples | Commonly used metrics: ⢠EV/Revenue ⢠EV/EBITDA ⢠P/E (if profitable) ⢠EV/EBIT Collect the median (or mean) for the peer group. |
Bloomberg, FactSet, S&P Global, YCharts. |
c. Compute Oloâs multiples | Use Oloâs most recent FYâ12M or FYâ2024 financials (Revenue, EBITDA, Net Income). ⢠EV = MarketâŻCap + Net Debt (the $2âŻbillion equity value + cash/debt adjustments). ⢠Revenue / EBITDA from the latest 10âK/10âQ. |
SEC filings (10âK, 10âQ), company investor relations site. |
d. Compare | ⢠If Oloâs EV/Revenue is lower than peers, the $10.25 price may be a âdiscountâ relative to the sector. ⢠If Oloâs EV/EBITDA or P/E are lower, the market may be undervaluing Olo relative to its peers, indicating a potentially favorable deal. |
Use a simple table to compare: Example (illustrative):   ⢠Peer median EV/Revenue = 6.0à   ⢠Olo EV/Revenue at $10.25 = 4.5à (implies discount). (Note: This is a hypothetical illustration; you must plug in the real numbers.) |
e. Contextualize | Discuss any qualitative differences (growth rates, profitability, cashâflow generation, recent acquisitions, regulatory risk) that may justify a higher or lower multiple. | Analyst reports, earnings calls, management commentary. |
3. Putting it all together
Metric | Interpretation |
---|---|
% premium/discount to recent price | Determines if the offer is above or below current market sentiment. |
Multiple vs. peers | Shows whether the deal reflects a âmarketâlevelâ valuation or a discount/premium relative to peers. |
Strategic considerations | Synergies, cost savings, and strategic fit (e.g., ThomaâŻBravoâs plan for Olo) can justify paying a premium above market and peer multiples. Conversely, if the companyâs growth prospects are weak, a discount may be justified. |
What to do next
- Grab the latest market data for Olo (closing price, market cap, net debt).
- Pull the latest financial statements (Revenue, EBITDA, Net Income) and calculate Oloâs valuation multiples.
- Identify and extract peer data (EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, P/E) for a relevant peer group.
- Apply the calculations above to see whether the $10.25 perâshare price represents a discount, a fair price, or a premium relative both to Oloâs recent market price and to the valuation of comparable firms.
If you need help pulling the numbers or performing the calculations once you have the raw data, feel free to share the numbers, and I can walk you through the calculations stepâbyâstep.