How does NETSCOUT's valuation (PE multiple, EV/EBITDA, price/earnings) look after this release relative to peers such as Cisco, Juniper, or Palo Alto Networks?
TL;DR – What we can say today
- The NETSCOUT press release you shared does **not contain any valuation multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA, price‑to‑earnings, etc.).**
- Consequently, we cannot compute a precise “post‑release” valuation for NETSCOUT or make an exact side‑by‑side comparison with Cisco (CSCO), Juniper (JNPR) or Palo Alto Networks (PANW) without pulling in external market data (share price, market cap, net debt, EBITDA, earnings per share, etc.).
- Below is a framework you can use right now to calculate those multiples for NETSCOUT and its peers, plus some general observations about how the market typically reacts to a solid Q1 FY‑2026 earnings beat.
1. How to Derive the Valuation Multiples
Multiple | Formula | Required Inputs (as of the date you calculate) |
---|---|---|
P/E (price‑to‑earnings) | Share Price / EPS (TTM) |
• Current share price (NASDAQ: NTCT) • Net income for the trailing twelve months (TTM) or FY‑2025 (if you want FY‑2025 P/E) |
EV/EBITDA | Enterprise Value / EBITDA (TTM) |
• Market cap (share price × shares outstanding) • Net debt (total debt – cash & cash equivalents) • EBITDA for the TTM (or FY‑2025) |
Price/Book (P/B) – often used for telecom‑/infrastructure‑type stocks | Share Price / Book Value per Share |
• Share price • Book value per share (total equity / shares outstanding) |
Where to pull the numbers
Source | What you’ll find |
---|---|
SEC Form 10‑Q (Q1 FY‑2026) – filed shortly after the earnings release | Quarterly net income, revenue, operating income, EBITDA, cash, debt, shares outstanding |
Form 10‑K (FY‑2025) – for the most recent full‑year figures (useful for FY‑2025 P/E, EV/EBITDA) | Full‑year net income, EBITDA, balance‑sheet items |
Financial data platforms (Yahoo! Finance, Bloomberg, Refinitiv, FactSet, S&P Capital IQ) | Real‑time market cap, share price, implied EV, consensus analyst EPS estimates |
Company investor‑relations page | Press releases, earnings presentation slides (often include “Non‑GAAP EBITDA” and “Diluted EPS”) |
Step‑by‑step example (you would replace the placeholders with actual numbers):
- Get the latest share price – e.g., $45.20 (hypothetical).
- Find diluted EPS for the trailing twelve months – say $2.10.
- P/E = $45.20 ÷ $2.10 ≈ 21.5×.
- P/E = $45.20 ÷ $2.10 ≈ 21.5×.
- Calculate Enterprise Value – Market cap ($45.20 × 30 M shares ≈ $1.36 B) + Net debt (e.g., $150 M) = $1.51 B.
- Get EBITDA (TTM) – e.g., $200 M.
- EV/EBITDA = $1.51 B ÷ $200 M ≈ 7.6×.
- EV/EBITDA = $1.51 B ÷ $200 M ≈ 7.6×.
Do the same for Cisco, Juniper and Palo Alto using their most recent data (usually available on the same platforms).
2. What the Press Release Suggests About Future Valuation
Even without exact multiples, the content of the earnings release can give us clues about how the market may re‑price the stock:
Indicator from the release | Typical market implication |
---|---|
Revenue beat / strong top‑line growth (e.g., “solid start”, “positive momentum”) | May lift the price as investors price in higher future sales. |
EBITDA or operating margin expansion | Supports a higher EV/EBITDA because cash‑flow generation improves. |
Guidance uplift (if the company raised FY‑2026 outlook) | Often translates to a forward‑looking P/E multiple that is richer than the current P/E. |
Share‑buyback or dividend announcement | Can compress the P/E (price rises, EPS unchanged) and lower net debt, improving EV/EBITDA. |
Competitive positioning comments (e.g., “strong execution across carrier service assurance and DDoS protection”) | May lead analysts to raise price targets if they view NETSCOUT’s market share as expanding relative to Cisco, Juniper, Palo Alto. |
Key take‑away: If NETSCOUT’s Q1 results were in line with or above consensus expectations, the stock typically experiences a short‑term price uptick, which would increase the P/E (price goes up faster than earnings). Conversely, if the earnings beat is driven by margin expansion or strong cash‑flow, the EV/EBITDA multiple may actually compress (EV rises modestly while EBITDA jumps), signalling a more attractive valuation.
3. Benchmarking Against the Three Peers (Conceptual)
Below is a high‑level picture of how the three peers usually trade in valuation terms (based on data available in the market as of mid‑2025). Do not treat these as current numbers; they are only illustrative ranges to help you set expectations.
Company | Typical P/E (FY‑2025) | Typical EV/EBITDA (FY‑2025) | Typical Price/Book |
---|---|---|---|
Cisco (CSCO) | 15‑18× | 8‑10× | 3‑4× |
Juniper (JNPR) | 12‑16× | 7‑9× | 2‑3× |
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) | 30‑40× (high‑growth) | 15‑20× | 5‑7× |
NETSCOUT (NTCT) – pre‑release | 20‑25× (historically) | 6‑8× | 3‑4× |
Interpretation of the ranges
- Cisco trades at a modest P/E because it’s a mature, high‑cash‑flow business with slower growth.
- Juniper is valued similarly to Cisco but with a slightly lower multiple due to a smaller scale and higher perceived execution risk.
- Palo Alto carries a premium (high P/E, high EV/EBITDA) reflecting its faster revenue growth and positioning in the cybersecurity “cloud‑first” market.
- NETSCOUT sits between Cisco/Juniper and Palo Alto: higher than Cisco/Juniper on a P/E (reflecting better growth prospects) but lower than Palo Alto (reflecting a more modest growth trajectory and a larger portion of its revenue coming from traditional performance‑management and carrier‑service‑assurance products).
If the Q1 FY‑2026 results confirm accelerating growth and margin expansion, you might see NETSCOUT’s P/E move upward toward the high‑20s and its EV/EBITDA compress toward 5‑6×—making it comparatively more attractive than Cisco on a cash‑flow basis while still cheaper than Palo Alto on a pure earnings multiple.
4. Quick “What‑If” Calculator (you can replicate in a spreadsheet)
# INPUTS (replace with latest data)
share_price = 45.20 # USD
shares_outstanding = 30e6 # 30 million
net_income_TTM = 63e6 # USD
EBITDA_TTM = 200e6 # USD
total_debt = 120e6 # USD
cash = 30e6 # USD
shareholders_equity = 500e6 # USD
# CALCULATIONS
market_cap = share_price * shares_outstanding
net_debt = total_debt - cash
EV = market_cap + net_debt
EPS_TTM = net_income_TTM / shares_outstanding
PE = share_price / EPS_TTM
EV_EBITDA = EV / EBITDA_TTM
PB = share_price / (shareholders_equity / shares_outstanding)
# RESULTS
print(f"P/E = {PE:.2f}x")
print(f"EV/EBITDA = {EV_EBITDA:.2f}x")
print(f"P/B = {PB:.2f}x")
Plug the actual numbers from NETSCOUT’s Form 10‑Q (Q1 FY‑2026) and the most recent Form 10‑K (FY‑2025) into the script, then repeat for the peers using the same date snapshot. That will give you a precise, apples‑to‑apples comparison.
5. Next Steps for a Definitive Answer
- Download NETSCOUT’s Form 10‑Q (Q1 FY‑2026) – typically posted on the investor‑relations site within a few days of the Business Wire release.
- Extract the following (all numbers in USD):
- Net income (or loss) for the quarter and YTD.
- EBITDA (or adjusted EBITDA) for the quarter and YTD.
- Shares outstanding (basic & diluted).
- Total debt, cash & cash equivalents.
- Shareholders’ equity.
- Net income (or loss) for the quarter and YTD.
- Gather the same data for Cisco, Juniper, Palo Alto for the most recent quarter (or FY‑2025) from their 10‑Qs/10‑Ks.
- Pull the latest share prices (close of the day you intend to calculate).
- Run the calculations (or use a financial‑data terminal) to generate the P/E, EV/EBITDA and P/B for each company.
- Compare – note where NETSCOUT sits relative to the peers and whether the spread is justified by growth rates, margin trends, or risk differentials.
Bottom line
- We cannot give exact post‑release multiples for NETSCOUT without current market data.
- The earnings release signals a “solid start” that could push the share price higher, potentially lifting the P/E while improving EBITDA margins (which would compress EV/EBITDA).
- Use the simple formulas above to compute the multiples today, then place them side‑by‑side with Cisco, Juniper and Palo Alto to see whether NETSCOUT looks cheap, fairly valued, or pricey relative to its industry peers.
If you pull the latest numbers and run the spreadsheet, feel free to share the outputs and I can help you interpret any gaps or anomalies you notice.