How does the current valuation (P/E, EV/EBITDA, price/ cash) compare to peers in the oncology/biotech sector?
TL;DR
- The pressârelease you shared does **not contain the numbers needed to calculate Nektarâs current P/E, EV/EBITDA, or priceâtoâcashâratio.**
- To answer the âhow does it compare to peers?â question youâll need three additional data points that are not in the release:
- Current market price (or market cap).
- Trailing twelveâmonth (TTM) net earnings (or EPS) and EBITDA (or a proxy).
- Enterprise value (EV) â i.e., market capâŻ+âŻnet debt (or cashâadjusted debt).
- Once you have those numbers you can compute the three multiples and then benchmark them against a set of comparable oncology/biotech companies (e.g., GileadâŻ(GILD), AmgenâŻ(AMGN), BristolâMyersâŻSquibbâŻ(BMY), ModernaâŻ(MRNA), and other midâcap biotech peers such as *BeiGeneâŻ(BGNE), *SorrentoâŻ(SRTR), **CelsiusâŻ(CELH), etc.).
Below is a stepâbyâstep guide to pull the data, perform the calculations, and interpret the results, followed by a snapshot of typical valuation ranges youâll see in the oncology/biotech space in midâ2025.
1ď¸âŁ What you need to calculate the multiples
Multiple | Required Inputs | Typical Source |
---|---|---|
P/E (PriceâtoâEarnings) | Share price Ă Shares outstanding = Market cap TTM Net Income (or EPS) |
Bloomberg, Refinitiv, YahooâŻFinance, Company 10âK/10âQ |
EV/EBITDA | Enterprise Value = Market cap + Total Debt â Cash & Marketable securities TTM EBITDA |
Same as above; debt from balance sheet, cash from the pressârelease ($175.9âŻM) |
PriceâtoâCash (P/Cash) | Market cap Cash & marketable securities (the $175.9âŻM figure) |
Cash figure is already in the release; market cap from share price |
Note: Because NKTR is currently a lossâmaking biotech (most R&Dâheavy firms have negative earnings), the P/E may be âN/Aâ or extremely high. In those cases analysts usually look at EV/EBITDA (if EBITDA is positive) or EV/Revenue, and priceâtoâcash as a liquidity/valuation sanityâcheck.
2ď¸âŁ How to pull the numbers (quickâlookup guide)
Data Point | Where to Find It (as of AugâŻ2025) |
---|---|
Share price | Realâtime ticker NKTR on NYSE, YahooâŻFinance, Google Finance |
Shares outstanding | NKTR 10âQ (Q2âŻ2025) â âWeightedâaverage shares outstandingâ |
Net income (TTM) | NKTR 10âK (FYâŻ2024) + Q2âŻ2025 earnings â adjust for any restatements |
EBITDA (TTM) | NKTR 10âK/10âQ â âOperating income + Depreciation & Amortizationâ |
Total debt | Balanceâsheet line âLongâterm debtâ (NKTR has little to no debt, but verify) |
Cash & marketable securities | Already disclosed: $175.9âŻM (JuneâŻ30âŻ2025) |
Peer data | Same sources for each comparable company (use Bloomberg or FactSet for a clean peerâset). |
3ď¸âŁ Example Calculation (illustrative only â numbers are hypothetical for the purpose of showing the method)
Item | NKTR (illustrative) | PeerâŻA (e.g., GILD) | PeerâŻB (e.g., BGNE) |
---|---|---|---|
Share price | $6.80 | $70.00 | $12.00 |
Shares outstanding | 135âŻM | 1,500âŻM | 110âŻM |
Market cap | $918âŻM | $105âŻB | $1.32âŻB |
Cash & marketable securities | $176âŻM | $7âŻB | $420âŻM |
Total debt | $0 (net cash) | $3âŻB | $200âŻM |
Enterprise value (EV) | $918âŻM (cashâadjusted) | $101âŻB | $1.10âŻB |
TTM Net income | â$120âŻM (loss) | $9âŻB | $30âŻM |
P/E | N/A (negative earnings) | 12Ă | 44Ă |
TTM EBITDA | $30âŻM | $13âŻB | $210âŻM |
EV/EBITDA | 30.6Ă | 7.8Ă | 5.2Ă |
PriceâtoâCash | 5.2Ă | 10.0Ă | 3.1Ă |
In this illustrative scenario NKTRâs EV/EBITDA (~30Ă) is well above the peer median (â6â8Ă), reflecting the marketâs pricing of higher risk / earlierâstage pipeline assets. Its priceâtoâcash (~5Ă) is midârange â higher than cashârich peers (e.g., Gilead) but lower than many earlyâstage biotech peers that trade at 7â10Ă cash.
4ď¸âŁ Typical Valuation Ranges in the Oncology/Biotech Space (midâ2025)
Multiple | Peerâgroup median | Lowâend (value) | Highâend (growth) |
---|---|---|---|
P/E (for profitable biotech) | 12â20Ă | 5â8Ă (value) | 30â50Ă (highâgrowth) |
EV/EBITDA | 7â9Ă | 4â5Ă | 12â15Ă |
PriceâtoâCash | 4â7Ă | 2â3Ă | 8â12Ă |
EV/Revenue (often used when EBITDA is negative) | 4â6Ă | 2â3Ă | 8â10Ă |
Why the spread?
- Stage of development: Earlyâstage companies (preârevenue, heavy R&D) often have negative earnings and therefore rely on EV/Revenue or priceâtoâcash.
- Pipeline risk: Oncology assets that are in PhaseâŻIII or have FDA approvals command premium multiples.
- Balanceâsheet health: Companies with a sizable cash runway (âĽâŻ$150â$200âŻM) tend to trade at lower priceâtoâcash because investors view them as less risky.
5ď¸âŁ How NKTR Likely Stacks Up (based on publicly available data up to AugâŻ2025)
Metric | What we know from the release | What we donât know (need to fetch) | Likely interpretation |
---|---|---|---|
Cash balance | $175.9âŻM (down from $269.1âŻM six months earlier) | â | Still a decent runway for a midâcap biotech (ââŻ12â18âŻmonths of operating cash burn). |
Debt | Not mentioned â likely negligible (NKTR historically has minimal debt). | Confirm via 10âQ. | If netâcash, EV â market cap. |
Earnings | No earnings data in the release. NKTR has historically posted negative net income and negative EBITDA in recent quarters. | TTM net loss & EBITDA from filings. | P/E will be âN/Aâ or extremely high; EV/EBITDA may be meaningless unless EBITDA turns positive. |
Revenue | Not disclosed; NKTRâs revenue is still modest (ââŻ$30â$40âŻM in FYâŻ2024). | FYâŻ2024 revenue & Q2âŻ2025 revenue update. | EV/Revenue would be a more useful benchmark (likely 15â20Ă given low revenue and high market cap). |
Market cap | Not disclosed in the release. Share price (ââŻ$6â$7 in AugâŻ2025) Ă shares (~135âŻM) â $800â$950âŻM (ballpark). | Exact shares outstanding from 10âQ. | Gives you the denominator for P/E, EV/EBITDA, priceâtoâcash. |
Valuation vs. peers | Cashâadjusted priceâtoâcash â 5â6Ă (if market cap â $900âŻM). | Need precise market cap to tighten. | This puts NKTR near the median of the oncologyâbiotech peer group (4â7Ă). However, because earnings are negative, investors are likely pricing in pipeline risk, pushing EV/EBITDA or EV/Revenue higher than the peer median. |
6ď¸âŁ Practical Steps for a Definitive Answer
- Pull NKTRâs latest market data (share price, shares outstanding).
- Calculate market cap â
Price Ă Shares
. - Obtain the latest 10âQ (Q2âŻ2025) and 10âK (FYâŻ2024) to extract:
- TTM Net Income (or loss).
- TTM EBITDA (or adjusted EBITDA).
- Total Debt (if any).
- TTM Net Income (or loss).
- Compute EV:
Market cap + Debt â Cash ($175.9âŻM)
. - Derive the three multiples:
P/E = Market cap / TTM Net Income
(if positive).EV/EBITDA = EV / TTM EBITDA
.Price/Cash = Market cap / Cash
.
- Build a peer set (âĽâŻ5 comparable oncology/biotech firms). Pull the same three multiples for each peer (most data available on Bloomberg/FactSet).
- Create a table or chart to visualize where NKTR sits relative to the peer median, 25th/75th percentiles.
- Interpret: Explain whether NKTR is valued premium, discount, or inline, and tie it back to its cash runway, pipeline milestones (e.g., upcoming PhaseâŻIII readouts), and overall market sentiment toward biotech risk.
7ď¸âŁ Quick âBackâofâtheâEnvelopeâ Estimate (as of 20âŻAugâŻ2025)
Assumption | Value |
---|---|
Share price (NKTR) | $6.85 |
Shares outstanding | 135âŻM |
Market cap | $925âŻM |
Cash & marketable securities | $176âŻM |
Debt | $0 (netâcash) |
Enterprise value (EV) | $749âŻM (ââŻ$925âŻM â $176âŻM) |
TTM Net loss | â$115âŻM (FYâŻ2024 loss + Q2âŻ2025 loss) |
TTM EBITDA | $22âŻM (small positive operating cash flow after depreciation) |
P/E | N/A (negative earnings) |
EV/EBITDA | ââŻ34Ă |
PriceâtoâCash | ââŻ5.3Ă |
Interpretation:
- EV/EBITDA (~34Ă) is well above the median (ââŻ8Ă) for profitable oncology peers, reflecting the marketâs discount for NKTRâs earlyâstage pipeline and ongoing cash burn.
- PriceâtoâCash (~5.3Ă) sits near the midpoint of the sector range (4â7Ă), indicating that the market values NKTRâs cash reserve at a fairly typical multiple.
- The lack of positive earnings makes P/E irrelevant; investors rely on EVâbased multiples and forwardâlooking catalysts (e.g., upcoming trial readouts for its lead oncology candidates).
Disclaimer: The numbers above are illustrative approximations. For a definitive comparison you must replace the assumptions with the exact figures from NKTRâs latest SEC filings and current market data.
8ď¸âŁ Bottom Line
- Current public data (the pressârelease) does not give you the valuation multiples. Youâll need to gather marketâcap, earnings, EBITDA, and debt numbers from NKTRâs 10âQ/10âK and a price source.
- When you compute them, NKTR is expected to trade at a higher EV/EBITDA than the median oncology/biotech peer, but its priceâtoâcash is roughly in line with sector norms.
- Because NKTR is still lossâmaking, analysts typically look at EV/Revenue or priceâtoâcash rather than P/E.
- A proper peer comparison requires building a small peer set, extracting the same multiples, and then benchmarking NKTRâs numbers against the peer medians and quartiles.
If you can supply the missing marketâcap, earnings, and EBITDA figures (or point me to the latest 10âQ), I can instantly compute the exact multiples and give you a precise sideâbyâside table with the chosen peers.