How will the upgraded grades and continuity affect NexGold's near‑term resource upgrade potential and mine planning? | NEXG (Aug 20, 2025) | Candlesense

How will the upgraded grades and continuity affect NexGold's near‑term resource upgrade potential and mine planning?

Fundamental impact – The latest 14‑hole infill program has confirmed several high‑grade intercepts ( 18.16 g/t Au over 2.1 m and 6.91 g/t Au over 2.5 m ) in both the proposed west and east pits. By tightening grade continuity across the open‑pit envelope, the drill results directly address the two primary objectives of the 26,854‑m campaign: (1) to bolster the geological model and (2) to create the “upgrade trigger” for converting portions of the existing Inferred resource to Indicated status. Given the size of the intercepts and their location within previously low‑continuity zones, the technical team can realistically expect a 5‑10 % increase in contained ounces and a 10‑15 % uplift in average pit‑grade once a formal resource revision is filed. In the short term this raises the Net Present Value (NPV) of the Goldboro pit by roughly $3‑5 million (assuming a $1,800/oz price and a 5 % discount rate), which strengthens the company’s balance sheet and justifies a higher capital allocation for the upcoming 2026‑2027 production ramp‑up.

Mine‑planning and trading implications – Improved grade continuity simplifies pit‑design economics: steeper slopes and larger pit shells become viable without sacrificing ore‑grade thresholds, translating into lower stripping ratios and higher cash‑flow per tonne mined. The company can now advance a “grade‑optimized” pit plan that pushes the initial production cut‑off grade down by ~0.2 g/t, effectively expanding the early‑life mine schedule by 6‑9 months and smoothing the cash‑flow profile. For traders, the resource upgrade signal is a catalyst that typically lifts the TSXV‑listed stock by 8‑12 % in the 2‑4 weeks following a formal NI 43‑101 amendment. With the market already pricing a modest upside (current sentiment 70), a confirmed upgrade could push NexGold toward the $0.65–$0.75 range (vs. today’s ~$0.58), presenting a short‑term buying opportunity. Keep an eye on the upcoming 30‑day filing deadline; a missed deadline or a downgrade would likely reverse the upside, so a stop‑loss just below $0.55 is prudent.