Are there any regulatory or dueâdiligence hurdles that could still impede the transaction after the new deadline?
Regulatory / dueâdiligence landscape
Even with the additional month granted to Nabors Energy Transition Corp.âŻII (NETD) to close its business combination, the deal still faces the standard regulatory and diligence milestones that can delayâor ultimately killâa SPâŻââŻtarget transaction. Key hurdles include:
- SEC review of the proxy and registration statements â the SPAC must file a FormâŻ8âK (or Sâ4) that satisfies the SECâs disclosure and âfairâvalueâ requirements for the targetâs assets, especially any renewableâenergy or carbonâcapture assets that may be subject to ESGârelated disclosures. Any comment letter from the SEC could push the closing date further out.
- Antitrust / FTC clearance â if the target operates in the upstreamâenergy or renewableâenergy infrastructure space, the FTC (or the EUâs competition authority, depending on the targetâs geography) will review for market concentration. A âsecondârequestâ or a request for additional information is common in energyâsector SPACs and can add weeks.
- Shareholder and sponsor approvals â the SPACâs shareholder vote, plus any âmajorâshareholderâ consent (e.g., a 20âŻ% or greater holder) and the sponsorâs âlockâupâ agreements, must be satisfied. Delays in obtaining a definitive proxy statement or meeting the 90âday voting window can create a procedural bottleneck.
- Financing / covenant compliance â the SPACâs trust funds must be released only after the transaction is deemed âcompleted.â If the targetâs debt covenants or ESGâlinked financing covenants require a final audit, any adverse finding (e.g., contingent liabilities, carbonâcredit accounting) can stall the cashâinflow and cause a breach of the SPACâs deadline.
Trading implications
Given these residual hurdles, the market will likely price in a modest âriskâpremiumâ to NETDâs share price (currently pressured, sentiment â15). The technical picture shows the stock near a recent lowâvolume support zone around $10â$11, with a descendingâtriangle pattern that historically resolves in a breakout either up (if the deal clears) or down (if regulatory or diligence issues surface). Actionable takeâaway: keep a tight stopâloss just below the current support (ââŻ$9.80) and look for a catalystâsuch as an SEC comment letter release or an FTC filingâwithin the next 2â3âŻweeks. A clean clearance and a positive shareholder vote could trigger a shortâterm rally (+15â20âŻ% in 2â4âŻweeks), whereas a regulatory âsecondârequestâ or a delayed audit would likely trigger a further decline, making a short or protectiveâput position attractive. Monitor the SEC EDGAR feed for any 8âK filings and the FTCâs âpublicâinterestâ docket for early warning signs.